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Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing

horse racing

Morning all, This week’s and next week’s column are slightly different to normal as I will be taking a few days of this week and next week I will be doing an in-depth analysis of the Cheltenham Festival which is now just three weeks away. Where has this winter jumps season gone? In this week’s column looking at horse racing …

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The Tortoise and the Hare

One of the most famous Aesop’s fable is the Tortoise and the Hare. It tells the story of a race between a tortoise and a hare. The hare mocks and ridicules the tortoise for moving so slowly. Comfortable in the knowledge that he will win, the hare soon leaves the tortoise behind and is so far ahead he decides to …

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Horses After A Layoff, Profitable Or Not?

horses

“I find that horses having their first start after a layoff are worth opposing because most winners are those which raced recently therefore to accept short odds about horses who are statistically less likely to win is madness.” That was a comment left on this post by Bob the other day. This is a great comment, and I thought it …

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Confirming Your Selection For Today

horse

Do you ever find a horse you like and then worry about whether it’s strong enough to warrant a bet? If you’re anything like me, this happens to you on almost a daily basis. In horse racing, we need to confirm your decisions. For example, today’s Free Guest Tip comes from Yard Info, and the selection is: 14:30 Plumpton – …

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Dark Horses

One of the best ways to find winners is to track horses. You used to be able to purchase a ‘dark horses’ book once a year, it’s pages contained the horses which had been tracked over the last year and were worthy of following in the coming year. At the Race Advisor, we call these horses ‘EyeCatchers’ because they’ve caught …

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Weekly Eye-Catchers – Horse Racing

horse racing

Good morning all, In this week’s column looking at horse racing eyecatchers, you will find the following: • My performances of the weekend; • Last week’s horses for your tracker; • A look ahead to Saturday’s big handicap the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury and a 16/1 shot that can go well for his small stable. With Monday’s news that Faugheen …

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Inside Racing Data (what you’d never expect!)

Back in 2010, I wrote a series of articles about how to build your own racing database. It was pointed out to me recently, that I’d forgotten to finish it with part four. Part four is about where you should get your racing data from. But the chances are, you haven’t read the first three parts, so this is where you can …

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This is making me kinda nervous!

I’ve been asked if I will speak at a small betting event in March. After a lot of thought, I decided to say yes. If you’d like to pop along, I’ll let you know when the tickets become available. For this talk, I’m going to be giving an overview of betting, and how to become successful at it. Obviously, my …

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Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing

horse racing

Hi all, This week’s column you will find the following: • The best performances from the weekend’s horse racing; • The third part of my Cheltenham Festival Briefing, looking at the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle picture; • My Cheltenham Festival ante-post betting portfolio; • This week’s horses for your notebooks. • The horse that I think is handicapped to go …

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The forecast is…

…that the weather is going to be milder tomorrow at Cheltenham. Which is exactly the news we wanted to hear because tomorrow is… Cheltenham Trials Day This is the last day of racing to prepare horses for the big event at the Cheltenham Festival. And, to celebrate it, we’ve got our festival specialist to analyse all the races, and provide …

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This could be your golden ticket

As I was walking the dog at 6.30am this morning, I was considering the various things I could write about in the daily newsletter. I had a bunch of ideas, but a conversation with a friend yesterday had me thinking about trainers. Personally, I don’t use trainers much in my analysis, but I know a lot of people who do. …

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Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing

horse racing

This week’s column contains the following: • The best equine and human performances from the weekend’s horse racing; • The second part of my Cheltenham Festival Briefing, looking at the Neptune Novice Hurdle picture, with a 20/1 shot looking a bit of each way value; • A brief look ahead to Thursday’s Thyestes Handicap Chase at Gowran Park and some …

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The Notes That Made £23,657

“There are many ways to skin a cat.” A phrase that, as far as anybody knows, was coined by Seba Smith in 1884. It’s also a phrase that’s truer for horse racing, than almost anything else. There is no right way or wrong way. As long as you make a long-term profit, whatever way you choose to take is perfect …

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All Weather Favourites (the inside track!)

All Weather

2016 was an interesting year for favourites on the All Weather. During last year, they only made a small loss of -1.20% (to Betfair SP after commission), while winning 32.83% of their races. Betting them to place would have generated an even smaller loss of -0.38%, and given you 62.80% winning bets. While we know, from having previously tried, it …

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Boom… You just hit a bullseye!

“Lo Michael, Have you ever looked into: Distance WON by. Distance behind winner (irrespective of its official position) ie a horse could finish 6th or 7th and only be 1-1/2 lengths behind the winner; as opposed to a horse finishing 3rd beaten 5 Lengths. Only considering “like for like races in the above”” Tom left this comment on the blog …

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Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing

horse racing

Arthur Races into National Picture at Warwick There was some good horse racing last Saturday, with the highlight for me being the win of the Lucinda Russell-trained One For Arthur in the Betfred Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick. The race over 3m 5f is a definite test of stamina but even more so when the ground is as soft as …

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Remarkable, Absolutely Remarkable!

“I had 3 winners out of four today at Kelso, remarkable absolutely remarkable, I thought I’d share this with you as only last night I read an article on your blogs about just using official ratings to find winners, not only this but the final race in which the horse came second really should have won but just run out …

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Is this a good rule?

Have you ever bought a betting system which tells you to look at the horse’s most recent finish position? I bet you have. Heck, if I dove into all the betting systems I’ve seen over the years, I reckon more than 60% of them would have that rule. But is it a good rule? Does the fact that a horse …

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Did you think I’d forgotten this!

Yesterday I said that I’d write the basics of a staking plan which was explained to me by John Jackson, one of the contributors to the SmartSigger magazine. Don’t worry, I hadn’t forgotten, everything you need to know is below… Let’s start by looking at the favourite 1% staking plan. This is where you stake 1% of your bankroll on …

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Most punters fail to make a profit because…

After yesterday’s debacle, I’m feeling much more relaxed today, and want to talk about staking. Staking is a large part of why most punters fail to make a profit. If you don’t have a bankroll of the right size, then you’ll eventually lose it. That’s not a possibility, or a ‘could’ happen. It’s a 100% guaranteed eventuality. And here’s why… …

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