At one and a half miles this race is longer than the last and we want to focus more on those runners who can go the distance. Irish trained runners statistically don’t do well in this race, although as we know this is no guarantee they won’t this year. The majority of previous winners had won one of their last two races and had also won a race as a 2 year old.
These trends allow us to remove 6 runners from contention giving us just 5 to consider further.
Alexander Pope seems to be declining in performance over similar distances recently and so can also be removed from contention.
Of the rest special note should be given to Dordogne, trained by M Johnston who has a 20% strike rate over the exact conditions as todays race and who certainly has the potential to win. Glens Diamond has shown significant improvement over todays distance and if he continues this trend he could be out of reach. Glencadam Gold is also showing good improvement, while not as good as Glens Diamond it is still worth taking note of.
My preference would be for Glencadam Gold and Glens Diamond with an each-way bet on both.
Tags: each-way bet, glencadam gold, Glens Diamond, good, irish trained runners, king edward vii, king edward vii stakes, m johnston, race, rest special note, runners, similar distances, strike rate, todays distance
Leave A Reply (3 comments So Far)
RA Admin
336 days ago
Well spotted Mike, I did look at Nathaniel but his price was way to short for me to consider without enough advantage over the other runners.
[Reply]
mike dunn
336 days ago
i am surprised that nathaniel does not feature in your calculations .I have a feeling after his last two runs that he will be thereabouts mike dunn
[Reply]
Stu
336 days ago
dordogne for me.
[Reply]