Patrick Lynch
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Sep- 2018 -19 September
Big Race Previews
Winning the Lottery – How Can You Pick A Winner of the Ayr Gold Cup?
It is no exaggeration to suggest that picking the winner of the Ayr Gold Cup is almost as tough as predicting the Grand National winner at Aintree! Just one favourite has won since 1996, and only two have emerged victorious since the 1970s! To be fair, the race is priced accordingly, and all but two winners since 1996 have done…
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12 September
Betting Knowledge
The St. Leger Stakes – Britain’s Oldest Classic
Autumn is truly a wonderful time of year for racing fans in the North of England. There is little time to rest after the excitement of the Ebor Festival at York, because the last of the Classics, the St. Leger Stakes, is upon us! It is part of a four-day festival which takes place at Doncaster Racecourse from 12-15 September.…
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5 September
Betting Knowledge
32 Red Sprint Cup at Haydock
The 3-day Sprint Cup Festival takes place from September 6 – 8 this year at Haydock Park, long regarded as one of Britain’s most attractive racecourses. The feature race, the Group 1 Sprint Cup, is the last top-level sprint race of the year and the 6-furlong dash normally brings a world-class field with Championship honours at stake. It is one…
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Aug- 2018 -29 August
Betting Angles
Should You Go Dutch? A Guide to ‘Dutching’ in Horse Racing
Legend has it that the term ‘dutching’ comes from the mobster Arthur Simon Flegenheimer, better known as Dutch Schultz. He was Al Capone’s accountant and was involved in various rackets including a racetrack. Schultz is credited with coming up with the idea of dutching in the 1920s. It is a system of betting used mainly in horse racing and football.…
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22 August
Betting Knowledge
Is York the Greatest Track in the UK?
Although it is only the third biggest racecourse in the UK in terms of prize money, and second (behind Ascot) regarding prize money per meeting, York racecourse is widely regarded as the #1 course in Britain. During the year, York hosts three Group 1 races: The Nunthorpe Stakes, the Juddmonte International Stakes, and the Yorkshire Oaks. All three take place…
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15 August
Betting Angles
Sprinters on the Rail – Should You Back Horses Drawn Low in Short Races?
Stalls were first introduced in the United Kingdom in 1965 for Flat races. For decades, stall #1 was always furthest to the left from a jockey’s perspective. For left-handed courses, it meant #1 was by the rail while on right-handed courses, #1 was drawn widest. The BHA changed everything, however, and since March 30, 2011, the #1 stall is the…
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8 August
Betting Knowledge
Horses New to Trainers – Who Performs Best?
Every so often, you will hear about a horse winning its first race with a new trainer. Does this mean the trainer has produced racing alchemy to boost the performance of a hitherto underwhelming horse? Perhaps the horse’s former trainer didn’t know how to get the best out of the animal. Alternatively, maybe the new trainer simply picked the right…
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Jul- 2018 -31 July
Betting Knowledge
Draw Bias at Goodwood
Of all the major festivals on the UK racing calendar, it is suggested that Glorious Goodwood has arguably the most extensive level of draw bias. It is something that has been spoken about for years. Back in 2009, Simon Rowlands of Betfair wrote about the bias for horses near the rails in the Mile Handicap; primarily due to a large…
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24 July
Betting Knowledge
Fitting the Bill: Does Your Selection Make Sense? A Simple Way to Analyse Your Horse Racing Picks
Even a 10-runner race can take a significant amount of time to analyse. Back in November 2011, Michael wrote a brief article entitled Finding Selections – The Beginner’s Guide and pointed out that professional bettors look at a vast array of factors. He mentioned eight of them and noted that in a race with ten horses, you would have 720…
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17 July
Betting Angles
Is Kelly’s Criterion Effective in Horse Racing Betting?
Experienced punters would suggest that a proper staking plan is as important as finding winners when trying to attain long-term profit. Let’s face it, even the best ‘system’ will have extensive losing runs. If your current method of staking is unable to get you through these rough patches, it is a waste of time because you won’t benefit from the…
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7 July
Betting Knowledge
Trainers, Jockeys & Stallion Offspring at the Newmarket July Festival – Who Is Profitable & Who Should Be Avoided?
Often proclaimed ‘the home of British racing’, Newmarket is about to host its famous annual event in what is now called the Moet and Chandon July Festival. The three-day event takes place from the 12-14 July and features several Group races including the Falmouth Stakes and the Darley July Cup. It is also the scene of the much-loved Bunbury Cup…
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3 July
Betting Knowledge
Trainer Focus – Which Trainers Are Most Likely to Provide You with Profit in July?
There are many potential ‘angles’ that you can cover when seeking a profit from horse racing. You can look at a variety of criteria including favourites’ performances when dropping down in class, horses returning within seven days, and a specific horse’s results over a certain type of going. It is possible to go through hundreds of pieces of data just…
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Jun- 2018 -26 June
Betting Knowledge
Horse Racing Tipsters – Are They Worth Your Time & Money?
This is a somewhat awkward topic I have chosen to cover since I work for a website that offers tips on horse racing! I am personally not a tipster and admire anyone willing to risk their reputation to try and help punters earn a profit at the expense of the bookies. However, for every reputable tipster with a proven track…
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22 June
Betting Strategies
Day 5 Royal Ascot Trends – Will They Help You Find a Winner?
Saturday is the final day of this year’s Royal Ascot festival and hopefully, you have managed to make some semblance of a profit over the previous four days. As you would expect, bookies love Class 1 races because it forces us to pick a winner from a field stacked with world class horses. The final day of Ascot sees four…
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16 June
Betting Knowledge
Royal Ascot – A British Kind of Race Meeting
For racing traditionalists, there are few meetings on the calendar to match the 5-day extravaganza that takes place at Ascot every June. Known as ‘Royal Ascot’, the meeting has been the course’s centrepiece since 1711 after being founded by Queen Anne. Entry to the festival comes with a guarantee that you’ll see world-class action as there are a total of…
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2 June
Big Race Previews
Is the Epsom Derby 2018 the Easiest Renewal to Call in Recent Years?
Known as the Investec Derby these days, the Epsom Day is the most coveted of the five Classics and is arguably the most famous and prestigious Flat race in the world. With a purse of over £1.6 million, it is officially the ‘richest’ horse race in the UK and is also known as the Blue Riband of the turf scene.…
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May- 2018 -26 May
Betting Knowledge
How to Find Front Runners for Back to Lay Opportunities
This was something I’ve wanted to write about for a while but the notion of getting value from front-runners on the Betfair Exchange became embedded in my mind after the Chester Cup. I had backed the well-known front-runner My Reward at 14/1 and saw its odds tumble to around 9/1 by the off. Within 20 or so seconds, when the…
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15 May
Betting Knowledge
The York Dante Festival: Can Trends Help You Go Off The Beaten Track For Profits?
The trouble with festivals is that the feature races are exceedingly competitive. Take the main event at the York Festival, the Yorkshire Cup for example. Less than a week from the race, there are 11 horses at odds of 16/1 or less in an event where 13 of the last 21 favourites have failed to win. However, the last four…
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5 May
Betting Knowledge
Can Past Trends Deconstruct the Incredibly Competitive 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas Races at Newmarket?
We’ve barely had the opportunity to get over another epic National Hunt season, and amazing finishes in the Aintree and Scottish Grand Nationals, when there is world-class Flat racing for us to enjoy once again. The two-day QIPCO Guineas festival features the 2,000 Guineas on Saturday, 5 May and the 1,000 Guineas (fillies only) on Sunday, 6 May. Both events…
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Apr- 2018 -28 April
Betting Knowledge
Trainer Sweet Spots – Are the Forums Right?
It is a well-known fact that some trainers have a clear preference for specific courses. For example, in his career, Paul Nicholls has a 56%-win rate over jumps at Southwell, a 40%-win rate at Leicester and win rates of 35% at Fakenham, Perth and Musselburgh. Meanwhile, he struggles at Market Rasen (17%), Haydock Park (17%), and Towcester (12%). We also…
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