Patrick Lynch
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Apr- 2021 -21 AprilStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #11: Trainers That Win with Fresh Horses
Nick Mordin, author of Winning Without Thinking, claims that horse racing betting systems seldom remain profitable for more than a couple of seasons. Once you reach the third season, it is important to review your systems and make tweaks if necessary. Given the challenges we’re having finding systems that stand the test of time, there seems little doubt that Mordin…
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Mar- 2021 -8 MarchStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #10: 3-Horse Monte
Three-card Monte is an infamous game usually associated with con artists, but we can use it’s principles to make a winning horse racing betting system. The dealer typically works with a team known as ‘shills’ to use players’ overconfidence (marks) against them. Using various tricks, the con artist wins money from players who have no idea what has happened. A…
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Jan- 2021 -8 JanuaryStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #9: National Hunt Trainers That Win to Follow in January & February
After a flurry of big National Hunt races in December, there is something of a lull before Cheltenham, and Aintree’s major festivals bring the curtain down on the season. Yes, there are still plenty of good races in January and February, but nothing near the scale of the Gold Cup or Grand National. While the likes of Mullins, Henderson, and…
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Dec- 2020 -28 DecemberStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #8: Astounding Results Laying Longer Priced Favourites
In horse racing, it usually pays to be a contrarian. Going against conventional wisdom in a micro betting system can benefit punters in the long-term. This month, I looked at whether laying slightly longer-priced favourites could yield a decent profit in a microsystem. The answer was ‘yes’ after I focused on a specific racecourse and code. However, I uncovered something…
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1 DecemberStrategies
(UPDATED) MINI BETTING SYSTEM #4: Laying Weak Jockeys
Sometimes our mini betting systems need updating. Perhaps one strategy in the portfolio is no longer working, or a website has changed design and is giving more visible insight into the area we were exploiting. When this happens we pause the strategy, and then go back and see if we can update the method or if it is no longer…
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Nov- 2020 -24 NovemberStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #7: Place Betting – Ideal for an Improved Betting ‘Psychology’
Michael is a huge proponent of high strike rate systems and with good reason. They don’t provide the sexy, eye-catching 25/1 wins. What they do is keep your betting balance ticking over. When you win a high percentage of your bets, you feel good about yourself. Also, your bank balance seldom takes a massive hit. I’m assuming that readers are…
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Sep- 2020 -30 SeptemberStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #6: Success From Horses In Hoods
Welcome back to the latest instalment of Race Advisor mini betting systems. As Michael may have mentioned before, the goal is to help you create a portfolio of systems with a relatively small number of bets. When you combine them all, you will have enough wagers to keep you satisfied. The number of bets you want depends on your bankroll.…
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Aug- 2020 -21 AugustStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #5: Winning With Stealthy Under the Radar Trainers
Welcome to the latest instalment in Race Advisor’s mini betting series. Every month we’re looking at a mini betting system which focus on a niche angle to find profits. Over time these can build up into a portfolio of betting angles which you can use as part of your betting. All form reading techniques can be applied to the contenders…
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Jul- 2020 -16 JulyStrategies
MINI BETTING SYSTEM #4: Nico De Boinville Winners
Every month we’re looking at a mini betting system which focus on a niche angle to find profits. Over time these can build up into a portfolio of betting angles which you can use as part of your betting. All form reading techniques can be applied to the contenders found by these betting systems. They can be used as a…
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Mar- 2020 -8 MarchRace Previews
Cheltenham Festival 2020: Your Winners Ultimate Guide
The Cheltenham Festival Ultimate Guide Contents This year’s Cheltenham festival takes place from March 10-13. The four-day festival is, as always, the prime focus of the horse racing world. Punters will win and lose fortunes, while trainers and jockeys will hog the limelight, and the latter will also hope to avoid serious injury! Barring racing insiders, few have the opportunity…
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Feb- 2019 -27 FebruaryAdvice
What is A/E in Horse Racing?
In recent articles, I have begun to include A/E figures when looking at potentially profitable systems. It relates to the potential value of bets and is based on looking at the actual number of wins and dividing it by expected wins (A/E = Actual/Expected). If the A/E figure is above 1.00, it means the horse won more often than the…
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20 FebruaryNews
Countdown to Chaos: Did the BHA Make the Right Decision About the Equine Flu Shutdown?
On February 6, the UK racing scene was rocked by the news that all events would be called off until February 13 at the earliest. The British Horseracing Authority (BHA) announcement also stated that it was a ‘precautionary measure’ due to the possible identification of equine influenza at a racing yard. It was trainer Donald McCain who was the unfortunate…
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12 FebruaryAdvice
Are You Still Losing Money with Horse Racing Betting Tipsters? You Could Be Falling Prey to Survivorship Bias
One of the big issues facing punters in the modern era is access to an extraordinary number of tipsters. Each of them claims to be successful to the point where one wonders: How do the bookmakers ever earn a profit? Quite easily as it turns out. Back in 2005, Harvard Medical school released details of a study it conducted which…
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6 FebruaryNews
Are Female Jockeys as Good as Males? If So, Why Is There Such a Disparity in Numbers?
Today’s article is about an issue that will definitely not engender intense debate and cause arguments! I elected to write about this topic because I felt as if we need harmony in the UK in the midst of the Brexit chaos. In all seriousness, I have heard fellow punters openly exclaim that they never back a horse with a female…
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Jan- 2019 -30 JanuaryStrategies
Betting Bounty – Guaranteed Long-Term Profit Made Simple
Several things in life are relatively easy to do: Make a cup of tea, put on your socks, and conjure up reasons why Alan Sugar should be kicked out of the UK! There are also several guarantees: Getting stuck in traffic while already running late, Alan Sugar refusing to leave the UK, and being left frustrated as your ‘hot tip’…
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23 JanuaryAdvice
Is an Odds-On Favourite More or Less Likely to Win the More Horses There Are in a Race?
If you happened to have purchased Eddie’s ‘Odds-On Winners’ strategy guide, then you’ll know that it is possible to make a profit even by backing horses that are at extremely short odds. After all, a win is a win, and when you are getting value with your selections, as is the case with Eddie’s guide, long-term success is likely. However,…
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16 JanuaryAdvice
Who Are the Trainers & Jockeys That Love Kempton Park?
There is something special about floodlit racing. Horses look even more majestic than usual when galloping along beneath the lights. Yes, it is normally cold and usually wet, and if you get too close to the rails, the kick-back off the Polytrack will fly up and smack you in the face; but it is still an experience that every racegoer…
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9 JanuaryAdvice
Running to Form (RTF) – What Does It Mean & Can It Be Trusted?
Horse racing is full of abbreviations, and it is far too easy to get caught up in the complexities of the sport. Don’t assume that it’s impossible to win if you don’t know your TS from your RPR! Even so, a punter’s greatest weapon is knowledge, so it pays to learn and understand the various methods of ranking horses, trainers,…
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2 JanuaryAdvice
Who Were the Best Trainers in 2018?
We have come to the end of 2018 and now is as good a time as any to reflect on the best-performing trainers of the year, from the perspective of a punter. In this article, I will look at trainers on the Flat, AW, and National Hunt, and see if this year was par for the course or an anomaly.…
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Dec- 2018 -27 DecemberNews
Threading the Needle in the Welsh Grand National
Although it is not as famous as the Aintree equivalent, the Welsh Grand National, which takes place at Chepstow, has become a much-loved post-Christmas event. It is a gruelling 3m 5 ½f slog that typically takes place on soft or heavy ground. The Grade 3 event was won by Raz De Maree in 2018, and this year is the fourth…
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