Today brings us once again to the Gold Cup race at Ayr. It is a class 2 race that is being run over 6 furlongs. Rather than using past trends for the analysis this time I am going to look at the race from a different angle, picking up on runners that may have potential under different factors.
Looking at form we can see that Ancient Cross, Eton Rifles and Tajneed have an advantage over the over runners. This is not based purely on positions but rather by looking at the runners they have raced against previously and the qualities of the races. However it is important to note that Pepper Lane, Below Zero, Our Jonathon and Mayson have all been showing improvements. Just because they have been showing improvements does not mean that they are going to be able to win this race but we need to bear in mind that this improvement could continue momentum in todays race.
If we look at the best performances that the runners have done on form only we can highlight Eton Rifles, Ancient Cross, Castles In The Air and Tajneed as standing out. From the speed perspective Eton Rifles and Pastoral Player had a significantly better performance than the other runners in their last race and this has to be considered especially for Eton Rifles who is projected to run the fastest today. Although in terms of speed todays race could be quite evenly matched against 9 runners suggesting that there could be a pack on the run-in.
The best speed figures over the last 90 days also highlights Eton Rifles as being amongst the top however when looking at the distance and track he is less likely to perform as well with Breathless Kiss coming out on top for the distance and Hawkeyethenoo for track. Our Jonathon and Pepper Lane also have a good record over the distance and are likely to find it very comfortable.
Eton Rifles comes back in once again to highlight a strong performance over similar going in the past which suggests that there is going to be no trouble on that front, along with Majestic Myles showing a strong preference on the going as well.
As you can see Eton Rifles looks to be serious contender in this race and cannot be ignored. Our Jonathon, Pepper Lane and Tajneed also have potential to run a good race. Interestingly Ancient Cross could also be one to watch out for, while the odds are around 32/1 and he is in no way a leading runner in any factor, neither is he a poor runner in any factor. If he puts in a solid race then he could well take some place money today.
I think that I will be going for an each-way bet to four places on Eton Rifle and place betting to five places on Our Jonathon and Pepper Lane. Ancient Cross will also be a bet in the place market but I shall wait to see how the odds move in the ten to be placed market and choose between that and the five to be placed market closer to the off.
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