Strategies

MINI BETTING SYSTEM #1: 4 Trainers That Profit From Unraced Horses

Making +240 Units Profit With A 14% Edge

(Last Updated On: April 29, 2020)

I’m trialling something new today. Something I hope you’ll love. Something that, if you say you want to see more of, we’ll publish more of.

Let me know if you’d like to see more mini betting system posts by leaving me a comment at the bottom.

It’s a mini betting system, also known as a micro angle or a mini betting strategy.

Most of the posts on the Race Advisor are pretty long. After all, we want to give you as much detail as possible so you can do it yourself.

But this is a bit different.

As you’ll see, this is short and sweet.


What Is A Mini Betting System?

Mini betting systems focus on hyper-specific areas of horse racing where there looks to be an edge.

There won’t be many selections a month, and some months there will be none if we’re focusing on a specific type of horse racing.

However, you can build up a portfolio of tens, or even hundreds, of these mini betting systems to generate a very generous profit.

But there are few things to remember…

  • You should double check horse’s ability to race under the current race conditions before placing a bet
  • While these mini betting systems work now, they won’t work forever. You should be constantly monitoring their performance and pausing them if they’re no longer performing as expected over the long-term
  • Mini betting systems are based around having a portfolio. You will need a number of mini betting systems to make a good profit

THE RULES

There are just three rules to finding selections using this mini betting system, and they are:

  1. Only consider horses that are 2 years old
  2. Only consider horses that have NEVER RUN BEFORE
  3. Only consider horses that were trained by R M Beckett, Miss Gay Kelleway, D M O’Callaghan, Archie Watson

Any horses that match these three criteria become a contender.


THE LOGIC

No betting system is worth anything if there’s no logic behind it. The logic in this mini betting system comes from knowing that there are trainers who specialise in getting a horse ready to perform well in it’s first race.

There is a one-time opportunity to get on a horse before everybody else knows how it performs.

That’s what we’re looking to take advantage of.


THE RESULTS

Since. 2014 these selections have had the following results..

SelectionsWinsStrike RateProfit / LossROIA/E
6029415.61240.6939.981.14

A profit of +240 units over six and a half years is around +36 units per year.

That’s with a 14% edge, as shown by the A/E ratio.

But a single set of results over an extended period of time doesn’t tell us much, so here’s those results on a year-on-year basis.

YearSelectionsWinsStrike RateProfit / LossROIA/E
20191593119.53.212.021.1
20181312418.32114.0987.091.17
2017931010.7510.0510.811.11
2016831113.2522.4827.081.16
201569913.0457.983.911.2
201467913.4332.9549.181.12

As you can see, there has been a profit every single year for the last six years, with the biggest coming in 2018. The number of selections has been steadily increasing, whilst the A/E ratio has held pretty solid.

With an average bet of one every couple of days, there’s enough action to keep interest.


IN SUMMARY

This mini betting system is designed to find two year-old horses which are running for the first time for a trainer who specialises in a first runs.

Taking advantage of this can give us up to a 17% edge and makes nearly a 40% ROI on average.

I’d love to know if you’d like to see more mini betting systems, if you’re going to use this in your portfolio, or if you already knew these trainers specialised in first runs and are damning me for telling everyone. Whichever it is, please leave a comment below and let me know.

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.

12 Comments

  1. I love mini systems. They are more profitable than blindly following jockeys or trainers.
    Keep them coming

  2. Hi Michael, I also love these mini systems. Would it be possible to show the breakdown from each trainer as I have a feeling the success of Archie Watson in 2018 may distort the figures slightly. Kelleway & O’Callaghan are certainly well under the radar so having their individual stats would be very useful. Many thanks again & I look forward to the next offering.

    1. Thank you for the comment Steve, great to hear that you love these, there’s been some great feedback and we will definitely be looking to do them on a more regular basis. Here are the stats for each trainer since 2014:

      Trainer Selections Wins Strike Rate Profit / Loss ROI A/E
      Beckett 300 40 13.33% 60.11 20.04 1.03
      Kelleway 51 6 11.76% 70.43 138.11 2.01
      OCallaghan 101 13 12.87% 86.14 85.28 1.29
      Watson 150 35 23.33% 24 16 1.14
  3. Im not sure if you consider or include Irish racing when considering these mini betting systems, but i would include G,M. Lyons who over same period has 45 wins from 216 runners a win % of 20.83 and a ROI of about 55%.

  4. Going back a few years Smartsig magazine printed readers systems which they called KISS .
    KISS stood for keep it simple system.
    As you can gather they only had a few rules and there was many that were profitable.They were run through ( ithink it was systems builder ) in those days and the results were printed in the magazine.
    I think there are quite a few people who would be interested in any that only carried a few rules, and that would include myself.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back to top button
Close
Close