Advice

Can Big Bucks Do It

(Last Updated On: March 15, 2012)

The big discussion today is whether Big Bucks can win this race! So far we have managed to find a profit every single day of the festival, let’s hope that we can do it again today.

As always we want to narrow down the field to begin with and I am going to be using all the features available to RA Members to do this.

Can Big Bucks Do It 1

We can use the Improver Graphs to remove Five Dream and Voler La Vedette immediately as they are both showing a decline in performance over similar conditions.

Can Big Bucks Do It 2

I am going to also remove Mikael D’haguenet and Mourad both of whom have low RL figures and Mourad also has a bad speed bar. I have highlighted the runners at the bottom as we have been unable to create RL figures for these runners and so they must be considered.

As this is a 3 mile race proven ability over the distance is very important and I will use the RA Graphs to determine this. There is not the space here to show the graphs for all the runners but I have put Big Bucks graph below.

Can Big Bucks Do It 3

As you can see Big Bucks has raced over this distance recently, at the required level and distance and won, very strong indicators of his level of performance today!

Using this technique I can remove Cross Kennon, Thousand Stars, Carlito Brigante, So Young, King Of The Night and Smad Place. We are left with three potential contenders in Big Bucks, Dyanste and Oscar Whiskey.

If we now look at each runners winning strike rate and days since last won we find that Dynaste has a 29% and hasn’t won for 116 days. This is compared to Big Bucks’s 82% and 46 days since winning and Oscar Whiskey’s 77% and 33 days since last won.

Selection: Everything in this race points towards Big Bucks as taking this home and I think he is hard to oppose. Although I am not a fan of odds-on selections this may be an occasion where I would go for it. However I think that Oscar Whiskey makes a good place bet. This puts me in the position of having to go for Big Bucks and a 20/80 or place on Oscar Whiskey.

So far members of the Race Advisor have made a massive profit at Cheltenham just by using our Big Race Trends which found three winners yesterday in Bobs Worth W 9-2, Finian’s Rainbow W 4-1; Champagne Fever W 16-1.

Let me know what you think of this race by leaving a comment below.

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.

9 Comments

  1. So far we have managed to find a profit every single day of the festival, let’s hope that we can do it again today.

    LOL, priceless!

  2. Can Big Bucks be beat? Probably not, but if he is a bit outa sorts I like 1000 Stars who on a good day is capable of doing the Biz, mb the Tricast is pretty much the 1st 3 favs. Anyhow small bets for me , money is tight.

  3. Wow what a race just finished.

    I had RT as my winner and AR EW
    but what rides, my heart was with AR
    after just watching the interview with
    Trevor H. What a lovely man.

    I have BB as my Anti Post and OW for
    a place.

    Good luck everyone.

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