Betting Knowledge

  • Feb- 2019 -
    18 February

    The Most Valuable Races at the Cheltenham Festival

    The Cheltenham Festival remains the premier jumps horse racing event in the British Isles, and there are valuable prizes on offer for winning the championship contests there. National Hunt racing prize money might not be as huge as that given on the Flat at big galas like Royal Ascot or the Ebor Festival, but it is still significant. Top horses…

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  • 12 February

    Are You Still Losing Money with Horse Racing Betting Tipsters? You Could Be Falling Prey to Survivorship Bias

    One of the big issues facing punters in the modern era is access to an extraordinary number of tipsters. Each of them claims to be successful to the point where one wonders: How do the bookmakers ever earn a profit? Quite easily as it turns out. Back in 2005, Harvard Medical school released details of a study it conducted which…

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  • 3 February

    Inside the Rails – An Owner’s Perspective

    We’ve all been there, standing around the paddock, making a final check on the horse to be entrusted with our £10 bet.  In the Summer you might see Aiden O’Brien with John Magnier and Michael Tabor briefing Ryan Moore or John Gosden with Andrew Lloyd Webber chatting to Frankie Dettori on the lawn in the centre of the paddock.  If…

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  • Jan- 2019 -
    23 January

    Is an Odds-On Favourite More or Less Likely to Win the More Horses There Are in a Race?

    If you happened to have purchased Eddie’s ‘Odds-On Winners’ strategy guide, then you’ll know that it is possible to make a profit even by backing horses that are at extremely short odds. After all, a win is a win, and when you are getting value with your selections, as is the case with Eddie’s guide, long-term success is likely. However,…

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  • 16 January

    Who Are the Trainers & Jockeys That Love Kempton Park?

    There is something special about floodlit racing. Horses look even more majestic than usual when galloping along beneath the lights. Yes, it is normally cold and usually wet, and if you get too close to the rails, the kick-back off the Polytrack will fly up and smack you in the face; but it is still an experience that every racegoer…

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  • 9 January

    Running to Form (RTF) – What Does It Mean & Can It Be Trusted?

    Horse racing is full of abbreviations, and it is far too easy to get caught up in the complexities of the sport. Don’t assume that it’s impossible to win if you don’t know your TS from your RPR! Even so, a punter’s greatest weapon is knowledge, so it pays to learn and understand the various methods of ranking horses, trainers,…

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  • 2 January

    Who Were the Best Trainers in 2018?

    We have come to the end of 2018 and now is as good a time as any to reflect on the best-performing trainers of the year, from the perspective of a punter. In this article, I will look at trainers on the Flat, AW, and National Hunt, and see if this year was par for the course or an anomaly.…

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  • Dec- 2018 -
    19 December

    Is There Money to be Made from Forecasts & Tricasts?

    Forecast and tricast bets have often been decried as ‘mug’ bets by experienced punters. In their eyes, these ‘exotic’ wagers are akin to going for a four or five horse accumulator. The odds are long, the potential payoff is massive, but the chances of winning are minimal. However, are we looking at these bets all wrong? Are they a bookmaker’s…

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  • Nov- 2018 -
    28 November

    Can the Ladbrokes Trophy Find a Future Superstar?

    The upcoming Ladbrokes Winter Carnival is Newbury’s winter highlight, and racing lovers especially look forward to the feature race, the Ladbrokes Trophy, which is for horses aged 4yo+. Although it is ‘only’ a Grade 3 handicap event, this 3m 2.5f test of stamina has a habit of highlighting horses worth following in the season’s major events. The Ladbrokes Trophy was…

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  • 21 November

    Forgiving a Forlorn Run: Should You Risk Money on Horses That Failed to Finish Their Last National Hunt Race?

    Admit it: You have dismissed horses in the past because they failed to finish their last National Hunt race. In some cases, it is a dangerous omission because there are a variety of reasons why a horse doesn’t complete a race. Perhaps the Going was all wrong, or the jockey misjudged a fence.  Did you know that over 18% of…

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  • 12 November
    horse racing

    Weekly Eye-Catchers

    Morning! Frost Returns To Wincanton I waxed lyrical about jockey Bryony Frost on a couple of occasions last year. The first time was when she won last year’s Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase on Present Man. It was a case of déjà vu as the combination returned to win the race again this year. Once again Bryony got the 8-year-old into a good…

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  • 7 November

    In the Long Run – Is Stamina a Defining Factor for Longer Races?

    The weather is cold and wet which means one thing: The National Hunt season is upon us! The hurdles and fences are out, the going is sometimes Heavy, and the races are longer with every mistake capable of taking a horse out of a race. After backing a horse to win a 3m 4f Chase race on Heavy ground, your…

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  • 5 November

    Weekly Diary – Horse Racing

    I have decided to take a break from jumps racing for just one week to look at the flat and, in particular, last weekend’s Breeders Cup and the upcoming Melbourne Cup.   There’s no horse for the tracker this week, but I have provided a Melbourne Cup selection and a Monday stat. There’s no better jockey for the big occasion than Frankie…

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  • Oct- 2018 -
    31 October

    Halloween Horror Show? Get Over it by Nabbing National Hunt November Profits

    By the time you read this, the British Flat season will officially be over which means it is time to switch focus to the National Hunt scene. While summer Flat racing is associated with fancy hats, Pimm’s, and the occasional sunny day, we’re about to get deep down and dirty. National Hunt racing in the UK is traditionally a mucky…

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  • 26 October

    Weekly Diary – Horse Racing

    Champions Day was launched in 2011 to much ‘wailing and gnashing of teeth’, with commentators on racing forums predicting the end of flat racing as we know it. Champions Day would destroy the pattern. Ascot had got too big for its boots, and a few other things. I am sure you read them too. Well the modern-day Jeremiah’s have been…

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  • 22 October

    Who To Watch – Week Beginning 22nd October

    Even though Champions Day has now been and gone, it’s not quite the end of the flat turf action as the final Group 1 of the season is at Doncaster on Saturday. The Vertem Futurity Trophy (formerly the Racing Post Trophy) has an exceptional role of honour and with the 1-2 from last year being Saxon Warrior and Roaring Lion,…

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  • 17 October

    Ascot British Champions Day – The Home of World Class Horses

    In UK Flat racing, it has become traditional to end the season with a spectacular feast of racing known as the QIPCO British Champions Day on October 20. Although there is a two-day meeting at Doncaster the following week which features the final Group One race of the season, the Champions Day at Ascot is now regarded as the end…

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  • 15 October

    Weekly Diary – Horse Racing

    Mullins Maintains Grip on Staying Handicaps Jumps trainer Willie Mullins looks like he could have a stranglehold on all the big staying flat handicaps over the next few years, if Saturday’s Cesarewitch is any guide. The Irish handler had 7 of the 33 runners, but managed to have the winner in Low Sun, and the runner-up in Uradel. The winner was given…

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  • 10 October
    horse racing

    Should You Godolphin at the Dubai Future Champions Festival?

    The Dubai Future Champions Festival has become an annual event and takes place at Newmarket each year. It is a celebration of the best 2yo horses in Britain and is a fitting appetiser for the following week’s Champions Festival at Ascot. Although these horses are unquestionably the future, punters are also interested in how these magnificent talents perform on the…

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  • 3 October

    Bad Run or Bad Runner? Should You Back Horses That Failed to Finish Last Time Out in National Hunt Races?

    For some punters, the form is everything which means dismissing a horse if it had a poor race last time out. Over the last year, I have analysed a lot of major races and found that most winners performed well in their previous race. However, this may only hold true for races at the highest level.  In lower grade races,…

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