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Cheltenham Showcase Meeting Stats

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Here are some Trainer trends from the meeting from 2009 to 2016. There have been 126 winners in that period from 1324 runners and the top six trainers in the number of winners have provided 59 of those winners coming from just 297 runners.

The top trainer at the meeting is Paul Nicholls who is ten ahead of his nearest rival in the op trainer list Nigel Twiston-Davies.

Paul Nicholls –

23 winners from 74 runners

Strike rate 31%

SP Profit +14.4

A/E 1.25 (profit to BSP + 18.47)

38 placed

Place Strike Rate 51%

That’s a pretty decent win strike rate but are there any angles from that record that stand out? He usually has his novice chasers fit and ready to win at this meeting and he’s had –

8 winners from 18 runners

Strike Rate 44%

SP Profit +12.38

A/E 1.69 (profit to BSP +13.51)

12 placed

Place Strike Rate 67%

On the negative side, I would be wary of his handicap chasers with only 1 winner from 14 runners 2 placed since 2009.

He has started the autumn in good form and I fully expect him to bag a few winners at this years meeting in particular note his runners in the novice chases.

Handicap Races

There are three trainers with interesting records in handicap races at the meeting.

Neil Mulholland (Handicap Chases) –

4 winners from 9 runners

Strike Rate 44%

SP Profit +16.5

A/E 3.48 (profit to BSP +18.95)

5 placed

Place Strike Rate 56%

I will be interesting to see how his handicap chasers go this year, as he comes into this years meeting in fairly poor form. At the time of writing, he was –

1 win from 53 runners

Strike Rate 2%

SP Loss -46.5

9 placed

Place Strike Rate 17%

in the past 30 days.

Two other trainers worth noting in handicaps are;

Paul Nicholls – (Handicap Hurdles) –

4 winners from 13 runners

Strike Rate 31%

SP Profit +10.16

A/E 1.47 (profit to BSP +12.08)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 54%

Nigel Twiston – Davies (Handicap Hurdlers) –

4 winners from 16 runners

Strike Rate 25%

SP Profit +20.2

A/E 2.52 (profit to BSP +25.96)

6 placed

Place Strike Rate 38%

Until next time, be lucky.

John

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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