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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
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Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1154
21/12/2019 8:12 pm  

It was a tough day to be betting today, all round.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
22/12/2019 8:50 am  
Posted by: @admin

It was a tough day to be betting today, all round.

Sure was -1.5pts on the day race one saved it from being worse.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
27/12/2019 8:41 am  

Both races 3Pt Dutch.
14:55 Chepstow

Pobbles Bay-Arthur’s Gift-Now Mcginty-Pop Rockstar-Prime Venture-The Two Amigos-Truckers Lodge.

14:55 Leo

Augusta Gold-Any second now-Killer Miller-Livelovelaugh-No comment-Quamino-Roaring Bull-Tower bridge-Whisperinthebreeze-Winter Escape.

 

AG in the 14:55 may end up as a NR as its Reserve1, overall this was quite difficult to narrow the Qualifiers down to a manageable chunk.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
27/12/2019 3:25 pm  

Potters Corner wasn’t on the shortlist, Roaring Bull was but I deselected due outside of  PR & VDW historical, low overall last 3 speed figures where outside of historical but was inside LTO, Race conditions looked poorish untested going and course, but 0/6 in class 0/3 Distance and 1/5 in a 16+ Field and no placed attempts, so given how many I have cut out of the shortlists I wouldn’t have selected it.

 


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
28/12/2019 6:13 am  

12:50 Leo 3pt Dutch

High Sparrow-Mister Fogpatches-Mon Lino-Mortal-Presented Well-Rock DU Baune-Royal Thief-Stacks Mountain-Tout EST PermisTreacysenniscorthy-Turbojet.

14:50 Limerick. 2PT Dutch

Woods Well-Articulum-Beyond The Law-Drumacoo-Moyhenna-Sumos Novios.


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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
Member Admin
Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1154
28/12/2019 1:20 pm  
Posted by: @w841mak64

Potters Corner wasn’t on the shortlist, Roaring Bull was but I deselected due outside of  PR & VDW historical, low overall last 3 speed figures where outside of historical but was inside LTO, Race conditions looked poorish untested going and course, but 0/6 in class 0/3 Distance and 1/5 in a 16+ Field and no placed attempts, so given how many I have cut out of the shortlists I wouldn’t have selected it.

 

Really enjoyed reading this post-race summary. Something I often do in races when they've not panned out as I thought, just to confirm I would have made the same decision again of if I missed something


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
28/12/2019 3:07 pm  
Posted by: @admin
Posted by: @w841mak64

Potters Corner wasn’t on the shortlist, Roaring Bull was but I deselected due outside of  PR & VDW historical, low overall last 3 speed figures where outside of historical but was inside LTO, Race conditions looked poorish untested going and course, but 0/6 in class 0/3 Distance and 1/5 in a 16+ Field and no placed attempts, so given how many I have cut out of the shortlists I wouldn’t have selected it.

 

Really enjoyed reading this post-race summary. Something I often do in races when they've not panned out as I thought, just to confirm I would have made the same decision again of if I missed something

I Try and do a post race summary to see what im doing is working out its something i am getting better at helps with record keeping.

What a day both Treacysenniscorthy & Sumos Novios Bsp 29.5 both winning 😀 😀 after a R4 in the 1st thats somewher around 11.5pts on the day Sumos gave me more money as it was Bog so went of higher odds, if all saturdays where like this.

On another note i use a list of top horses which perform well under certain conditions, i matched the list using Monte Carlo set on std the only one that was top was Apples Jade so backed that at 3/1 earlier this morning 😀.

So fantastic day punting.

I am not going to change backing Dutching to straight 1pt wins as im happy, will monitor in the long run to see how it fairs

 

 


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
01/01/2020 8:58 am  

1250-Cheltenham

Another Venture-Commodore-Like the sound-Equis Secretus

1400-Cheltenham

Cepage-Kalashnikov-Mister Whitaker-Ballyhill

1435-Cheltenham

Anytime will do-Mason Jar-Rapper-Skandiburg-Constantine Bay

 


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
01/01/2020 3:04 pm  

Skandiburg R4 20p saves the day from being a blowout overall -0.10pts, things will be a bit quieter during January and February trends wise before the Madness of March and April festivals, don’t see any trends races this Saturday coming so will be week after.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
01/01/2020 6:01 pm  
  1. 2019 You could say was a bit of a learning curve using the ratings, feeling a bit more settled now.
  2. Must ignore all tipsters out there, my bigest profits have always come from my own selections especialy in High class races.
  3. I Have been betting in access of 10+ years now and BOG accounts are now getting thin on the ground, current method can be used to back later in the day on the exchange's.
1577901660-2019.jpg

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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
Member Admin
Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1154
01/01/2020 7:01 pm  

Great round-up and great to see a profit there. Superb to hear that you're making the biggest profits from your own selections, without a doubt the best way 🙂


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
11/01/2020 7:20 am  

All 2PT Dutchs 

1400 Kempton

Burrows Edge-Burrows Park-Eragon de Chaney-Gortroe Joe-Northofthewall

1500 Warwick

Bobo MAC-Captain Chaos-Head to the stars-Kimberlite candy-The conditional.

1535 Warwick

Doc penfro-itsallguesswork-Onefortheteam-Sire du berlais-special acceptance.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
11/01/2020 4:14 pm  

Wins from Burrows edge & Kimberlite candy 😀  get the month moving forward +6.84pts profit on the day, unlucky not to get the 3rd win just lost in last few strides.


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
18/01/2020 5:50 am  

1440 Haydock 1.5pt Dutch & Vintage Star 0.5pt to place

Acting Lass-Champers on ice-Definitly Red-Flying Angel-Vintage Star

 

A few people may raise an eyebrow at me selecting VS on face value the PR 1.05% chance, on the going 0/8 & 0/15 in the class, in racing nothing as easy as it seams, so i look at the place side of form 8/8 100% going & 9/10 90% course & 9/9 100% in field sizes of 8-11 & class & dist not to shabby, lets address the PR 6/9 winners of this race have been the bottom half of the rating why ? in this instance haydock when its realy heavy it realy is a bog and it was raining again last night, past winners on heavy going 9 races only to at the weigh 11.2 &  11.3 the rest in the 10s, stats generally should be ok here both Trainer and jockey have strong records here, the Speed graph shows VS running a Career best lto at haydock in heavy going, of the other runner progressive chase graph also posted a similar speed figure on heavy going.

 


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jeffrey rees
(@w841mak64)
Estimable Member
Joined: 8 months ago
Posts: 157
18/01/2020 3:10 pm  

Another good Saturday with Vintage clouds winning P/L 14.55 for the month now so guaranteed profit no matter what happens.

Thursday Thyestes Hcap Gowran park.

Saturday Doncaster Skybet Chase

Remaining races listed above for this month.


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