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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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26/01/2020 10:51 pm  

I still have all the selections written down I will try to find time to go back over all the results 


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AndrewP
(@andrewp)
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26/01/2020 11:34 pm  

That's ok Carl, I can extract the selections from this thread, correct spellings and look up the prices and results from my results database.


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AndrewP
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27/01/2020 10:45 am  

I've done a quick job on extracting the data Carl but it will need checking.

Overall I get 127 winners from 553 selections (SR 23%) with an A/E of 1.02, a level stakes loss at BSP of 5.76 and a proportional stakes profit of 1.29 (1%).

However, simply removing the AW sprints (according to my definition) gives,

100/400 (25%), A/E 1.06, LSP 31.11 (7.7%), PSP 4.6 (4.9%).

The A/E and PSP look promising. If you have Excel you can play around with the filters in the pivot table.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/znhzwtzk6nrtz5s/Carls%20MC%20Dutches.xlsx?dl=0

I would need to set up some other columns to analyse as a dutching system.


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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27/01/2020 11:14 am  

Monday

 

Kelso

3.45  black pirate / ebony jewel / doyen breed

 

Plumpton

2.30  cat tiger / young lieutenant / jamboulet

 

Wolverhampton

5.00  xian express / egotistic / lili wen fach

6.00  brenbar / Sherpa trail / badayel

 

AW Sprints

5.00 Wolverhampton  xian express / rocking my boat / lili wen fach

thanks Andrew at the moment the all weather is completely a work in progress 


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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
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Posts: 1251
27/01/2020 1:44 pm  
Posted by: @andrewp

I've done a quick job on extracting the data Carl but it will need checking.

Overall I get 127 winners from 553 selections (SR 23%) with an A/E of 1.02, a level stakes loss at BSP of 5.76 and a proportional stakes profit of 1.29 (1%).

However, simply removing the AW sprints (according to my definition) gives,

100/400 (25%), A/E 1.06, LSP 31.11 (7.7%), PSP 4.6 (4.9%).

The A/E and PSP look promising. If you have Excel you can play around with the filters in the pivot table.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/znhzwtzk6nrtz5s/Carls%20MC%20Dutches.xlsx?dl=0

I would need to set up some other columns to analyse as a dutching system.

Looking like a good start 🙂


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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27/01/2020 8:55 pm  

Monday’s results

kelso 3.45  black pirate 1st 5/4 , ebony jewel 2nd 11/10 , doyen breed 4th 12/1 

plumpton 2.30  cat tiger 1st 8/13 , young lieutenant 3rd 9/4 , jamboulet 4th 100/1 

wolverhampton 5.00  egotistic 1st 14/1 , xian express 2nd 10/11 , lil wen fach 3rd 9/4

wolverhampton 6.00  sherpa trail 1st 8/1 , badayel 2nd 13/8 , brenbar 3rd 5/2 

aw sprint 

Wolverhampton 5.00  xian express 2nd 10/11 , lil wen fach 3rd 9/4 , rocking my boat 6th 13/2 


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Michael Wilding
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27/01/2020 9:15 pm  

4/5 ain't bad!


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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Posts: 383
27/01/2020 9:45 pm  

Thanks Michael 


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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28/01/2020 11:07 am  

Tuesday

 

Down royal

1.50  our friend / without limites / gun merchant

2.50  diamond turf / great khan / castle Oliver

 

Newcastle

1.40  uncle jonty / the wolf / mr Katanga

2.40  foxey / cyrus keep / banks o’houxty

 

Southwell

4.55  dune of pilat / looktothelight / proxy

 

AW Sprints

 

Southwell

5.25  liamba / le manege enchante / sandridge lad

5.55  zylan / wasntexpectingthat / zapper class

7.25  red stripes / global melody / moveonup

 


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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28/01/2020 8:48 pm  

Tuesday’s results
down royal  1.50  our friend 6th 8/1 , without limites pu 14/1 , gun merchant nr

down royal  2.50  diamond turf 2nd 11/4 , great khan 3rd 7/2 , castle Oliver 1st 6/4 

newcastle 1.40 uncle jonty 3rd 7/1 , the wolf 1st evs , mr katanga 6th 8/1 

newcastle 2.40  foxes 2nd 12/1 , Cyrus keep 3rd 40/1 , banks o’houxty 6th 7/1 

southwell  4.55  dune of pilat 1st 1/4 , looktothelight 2nd 8/1 , proxy 4th 14/1 

aw sprints

southwell  5.25  liamba 7th 7/2 , le manege enchante 4th 8/1 , sandridge lad 1st 9/2 

southwell  5.55  zylan 3rd 7/2 , wasntexpectingthat 2nd 11/4 , zapper class 5th 16/1 

southwell  7.25  red stripes 2nd 7/2 , global melody 5th 3/1 , moveonup 3rd 8/1 

 


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Carl Newbury
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29/01/2020 11:00 am  

Wednesday

 

Leicester

1.45  muckamore / imperial alcazar / fugitives drift

2.45  ballyellis / Geneva barracks / baracalu

 

AW Sprints

6.15 kempton  dubai elegance / alicia darcy / irene may


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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29/01/2020 8:48 pm  

Wednesdays results

leicester 1.45  muckamore 2nd 5/1 , imperial alcazar 1st 4/9 , fugitives drift 3rd 4/1

leicester 2.45  ballyellis 3rd 4/9 , Geneva barracks 4th 22/1 , baracalu 1st 5/2

aw sprints

6.15 kempton  Dubai elegance 2nd 8/1 , Alicia darcy 5th 12/1 , Irene may 4th 14/1


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
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29/01/2020 11:41 pm  

Carl,

How did you dutch the 1.45 when the only other 2 runners were priced at 50/1 and 150/1?


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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30/01/2020 4:12 am  

As I previously said I’m not placing any bets on these at the moment so the selections the system brings up I’m just putting up here for records from start of February I will be only posting viable selections 


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
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Posts: 383
30/01/2020 8:12 am  

Thursday

 

Ffos las

2.10  Apple bank / pileon / republican

 

Limerick

12.55  doctor Phoenix / dolciano dici / mooltazem

 

Wincanton

1.10  ballymin / cill anna / Katie’s escape

2.55  himemiya / glory and fortune / gates pass

 

AW Sprints

 

Southwell

12.50  hey ho lets go / loulin / first excel

1.20  augustus caesar / astrozone / triple spear

3.35  microscopic / holy eleanor / constitutional

 


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