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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
08/05/2020 2:24 pm  

2 losers on Wednesday. Total loss now 27.01 points.

1 today.

COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
GULF 10.49 Charmaines Mia 20.00 BETFAIR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
12/05/2020 5:58 pm  

Friday's selection placed for a profit of 2.00 points. Total loss now 25.01 points.

3 today.

COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
WILL 9.15 I Am Ready Again 20.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 9.15 Fafa 50.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 10.15 Landry Kyle 25.00 BETFAIR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
15/05/2020 1:15 pm  

A place and 2 losers on Tuesday for a break-even day.

3 today.

COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
TAMP 9.35 Devils Rule 9.00 SKY 4
TAMP 9.35 Fog Warning 16.00 BETFAIR 4
TAMP 9.35 Uncle Kevin 25.00 BETFAIR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
18/05/2020 2:06 pm  

A place and 2 losers on Friday for a loss of 1.82 points. Total loss now 28.14 points.

4 today.

COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
WILL 8.45 Zipporah 20.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 8.45 Staunch Elaborator 40.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 11.15 Dicey 50.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 11.15 Seeing Double 50.00 BETFAIR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
20/05/2020 3:22 pm  

4 losers on Monday, total loss now 32.14 points. Roll on the 1st of June !

3 today.

WILL 8.15 Soul Temptation 33.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 8.15 Golden Choate 66.00 BETFAIR 4
WILL 8.15 Doctor Henny 66.00 BETFAIR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
21/05/2020 8:42 pm  

2 losers yesterday. Total loss now 34.14 points.

I have decided to call a halt on this now as the base selections are showing an overall loss to LSP and a loss of 11% to proportional stakes.

For whatever reason the logic doesn't appear to work for these international races. I only really looked at it because of the lack of UK racing and I only had small stakes so no real damage done, all part of the learning experience.


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1649
21/05/2020 8:54 pm  

@michael-clarke it's been interesting to follow. I would imagine this is because all (I think) these courses are pari-mutuel based betting? It could account for there being no edge in this way because it's market derived not bookmaker derived.

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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AndrewP
(@andrewp)
Reputable Member
Joined: 1 year ago
Posts: 429
22/05/2020 5:26 pm  

@michael-clarke

Can I just check, were the odds bookmaker win odds and place fractions but with the extra place? i.e. not win pool and place pool.

You've identified lack of BOG as one factor, what were the place over/under rounds like compared to UK races?


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 854
22/05/2020 6:13 pm  

@andrewp Yes Andrew I was using the bookmaker odds. I think in general the over rounds are higher than UK racing but the races I bet in theory did provide an edge.


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