EXTRA PLACE RACES
 
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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
02/01/2019 12:46 pm  

I have had some success over the last few months with betting on those races where bookmakers offer an extra place so I will put it to the test over the next 30 days.

The aim is to make £500 profit using £50 level stakes (I'm not a fan of staking plans).

I am basically looking at those races where the bookmaker offers an extra place, the over-round is relatively low and the odds are the best available across all bookmakers using odds-checker. Odds need to be 3/1 - 12/1, only 1 selection per race.

eg. today Hereford 1.20 best book 108%, UNIBET offering 4 places, EATON MILLER available at 4/1 (this is the best price available). £25 each way.

Also today Wolverhampton 1.45 PEACHEY CARNEHAN 100/30 4 places with BETFRED.


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
03/01/2019 12:45 pm  

A loser and a place yesterday, loss of £58.33.

Today 3 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS 
SOUT 3.45 THUNDER BUDDY 3.50
CHEL 4.45 PACIFIC SALT 5.50
CHEL 7.55 RED COSSACK 6.00

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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1894
03/01/2019 8:57 pm  

LOVE this idea Michael. Are you letting the win part of the bet stand or are you trading it out to leave only the place portion at risk?

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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1894
03/01/2019 8:57 pm  

Would be great to see how many places you're getting paid on in each race as well 🙂

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
04/01/2019 1:04 am  

No problem, it's normally 4.

I do tend to lay the win part of the bet nearer the off if the odds are shorter than those I have backed it at.


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
04/01/2019 1:20 pm  

1 winner and 2 losers yesterday. Loss now £23.33.

Today 2 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
KEMP 2.10 DISTANT APPLAUSE 4.00 UNIBET 4
WOLV 7.45 PROCEED 3.00 UNIBET 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
05/01/2019 12:38 pm  

2 places yesterday. Loss now £38.33.

Today 3 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
WINC 2.40 WICKED WILLY 8.00 WILLIAM HILL 5
KEMP 5.15 VOICE OF A LEADER 4.00 UNIBET 4
KEMP 7.45 TOUR DE PARIS 5.50 LADBROKES 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
06/01/2019 11:48 am  

2 places and a lose yesterday. Loss now £68.33

Today 3 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
PLUM 2.10 GIVE HIM TIME 3.50 BETFRED 4
NAAS 2.50 MING DYNASTY 4.50 SKY 5
NEWC 1.30 SOMETHING BREWING 7.50 SKY 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
07/01/2019 1:39 pm  

1 place and 2 losers yesterday. Loss now 170.83.

Today 4 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
MUSS 2.25 SARVI 4.00 BOYLESPORTS 4
CHEP 2.10 SANDHURST LAD 3.33 UNIBET 4
CHEP 3.50 CASWELL BAY 4.00 SKY 4
WOLV 6.15 FALSE ID 6.00 UNIBET 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
08/01/2019 12:16 pm  

2 places and 2 losers yesterday. Loss now 219.17

Today 3 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
AYR 12.55 BLAYDON 9.00 SKY 4
BANG 1.10 CRACKING DYNASTY 3.00 UNIBET 4
NEWC 4.10 SILVERTURNSTOGOLD 7.00 CORAL 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
09/01/2019 12:10 pm  

1 place and 2 defeats. Loss now 329.17.

Today 4 selections.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
DONC 1.35 DIGGIN DEEP 4.50 SKY 4
LING 3.05 VERY HONEST 4.00 SKY 4
KEMP 4.15 FATHER MCKENZIE 5.50 SKY 4
KEMP 5.45 UNIT OF ASSESSMENT 3.50 SKY 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
10/01/2019 1:06 pm  

1 win, 2 places and 1 defeat yesterday. Loss now 244.17.

1 selection today.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
CHEL 4.45 STACHVILLE FLYER 5.00 BETFRED 5

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
11/01/2019 12:50 pm  

Yesterday's selection places. Loss remains at 244.17.

3 selections today.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
WOLV 4.10 BIG BAD LOL 5.00 BETFRED 4
WOLV 5.45 TABOU BEACH BOY 5.50 LADBROKES 4
WOLV 6.45 THRESHOLDOFADREAM 3.50 BETFRED 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
12/01/2019 12:04 pm  

Yesterday 2 places and a defeat.

3 selections today.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
WARW 0.40 PERCY PROSECCO 6.50 BETVICTOR 4
WARW 3.00 STEP BACK 6.50 CORAL 4
LING 3.40 TESORINA 3.50 BETVICTOR 4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 907
12/01/2019 6:49 pm  

1 place and 2 defeats today. Loss is now 384.17.

On the face of it, very disappointing so far with a ROI of -25%.

However, all systems have good and bad runs and I believe this is just one of those poor runs and I am not overly concerned. I have been using this system for 15 months and in that period there have been 11 winning months and 4 losing ones. The longest losing period was November 17 to March 18 so perhaps this time of year is not good for whatever reason. Overall the ROI has been 17%.

Since the start of this trial there have been 31 selections of which 2 have won, 16 have placed and 13 have lost.

The place half of the bets has made a profit of 115.83, the win half has made a loss of 500.00.

The focus of the system is on the place element so in that respect it is working.

The problem has been the proportion of winners. Based on the odds I would have expected 5.6 winners but there have been only 2. I expect this to revert back to the mean at some stage. There have been 9 seconds.


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