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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
31/07/2020 1:23 pm  

A winner, a 2nd and 3 losers yesterday for a profit of £70. Total now £2,073.70.

COURSETIMESELECTIONODDSBOOKMAKERPLACES
PONT1.25Kupa River (7)7.00UNIBET4
GALW5.45FILON DOUDAIRIES6.00BOYLESPORTS5
GALW6.15PILBARA6.50BOYLESPORTS5
LING6.25Dontyouwantmebaby (2)7.50BOYLESPORTS4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
01/08/2020 12:01 am  

A place and 3 losers today for a loss of £147.38. July showed a profit of £397.13. Total now £1,926.33.

Overall there have been 1,115 selections with 183 winners, 422 places and 510 losers.

LSP is 38.53 points with a ROI of 3.5%.

The place bets have derived a profit of 80.95 points, the win bets a loss of 41.43 points.

There have been 96 occasions when the horse has finished in the extra place. This has accounted for 101.95 points.


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 2213
01/08/2020 10:16 am  

@michael-clarke could you hedge out the win portion of the bet to reduce the losses on the win market?

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
01/08/2020 11:01 am  

I don't see the logic of this unless there is a grater than average chance that the horse will lose.

Everything else being equal I would expect to lose 2% (Betfair commission) by laying.

So with 1,115 bets at £25 I would reduce my profit by £557.50.

Unless my logic is incorrect.


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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
01/08/2020 1:21 pm  
COURSETIMESELECTIONODDSBOOKMAKERPLACES
GOOD1.50TOMMY G5.508885
HAMI7.15Viceregent (1)5.00SKY4
HAMI7.45Double Ds (5)4.00BOYLESPORTS4
HAMI8.15Peerless Percy (6)6.00SKY4

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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 2213
01/08/2020 9:34 pm  

Your logic is correct, but it depends on the disparity between the bookie price and the Betfair price. It may be possible to scrape that 2% back. Whether it's worth the effort is another question.

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
02/08/2020 1:33 pm  

2 places and 2 losers yesterday for a loss of £95. Total now £1,831.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES STRATEGY
LEIC2.10Luscifer (15)5.00SKY4EW

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
03/08/2020 11:59 am  

Yesterday's selection finished in the extra place for a breakeven day.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
YARM2.30Lunar Deity (2)7.50UNIBET4
HAYD4.45Picture Frame (8)5.00SKY4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
04/08/2020 2:38 pm  

Both selections lost yesterday. Total now £1,731.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
CATT5.50Swaffham Bulbeck (8)3.00BOYLESPORTS4
SOUT7.00Hidden Glen3.33BOYLESPORTS4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
05/08/2020 2:25 pm  

A place and a loser yesterday for a loss of £55. Total now £1,676.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
AYR4.40Captain Corcoran (1)5.00SKY4
AYR6.10Only The Brave (12)3.50SKY4
SLIG6.50Insane Bolt4.00UNIBET4
LING8.05September Power (4)6.50UNIBET4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
07/08/2020 2:21 pm  

A winner and a 2nd on Wednesday for a profit of £245. Total now £1,921.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
CART4.20The Black Squirrel7.00BOYLESPORTS4

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
08/08/2020 11:55 am  

Yesterday's selection won for a profit of £210. Total now £2,131.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
ASCO3.35Caradoc (5)3.50BOYLESPORTS4
HAYD3.50Arbalet (8)4.00SKY4
CORK4.15PEARLS GALORE3.50BOYLSPORTS5

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
09/08/2020 2:40 pm  

A winner and 2 losers yesterday for a profit of £5. Total now £2,136.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS STAKE PLACES 
THIR3.05LADY NECTAR5.004.004
CURR4.50TEDDY BOY4.504.004
THIR5.20Clifftop Heaven (12)7.004.004
CURR5.55CARRYTHEONE3.004.004

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
09/08/2020 3:00 pm  

Correction.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
THIR3.05LADY NECTAR5.00BOYLESPORTS5
CURR4.50TEDDY BOY4.50BOYLESPORTS4
THIR5.20Clifftop Heaven (12)7.00BOYLESPORTS4
CURR5.55FRANK ARTHUR5.00UNIBET5

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MICHAEL CLARKE
(@michael-clarke)
Prominent Member Customer
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 990
10/08/2020 12:41 pm  

A winner, a place and 2 losers yesterday for a profit of £73. Total now £2,209.33.

COURSETIME SELECTIONODDS BOOKMAKERPLACES 
SOUT4.45SWILLY SUNSET5.00UNIBET5

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