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(@michael-clarke)
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A winner, a 2nd and 3 losers yesterday for a profit of £70. Total now £2,073.70.

COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
PONT 1.25 Kupa River (7) 7.00 UNIBET 4
GALW 5.45 FILON DOUDAIRIES 6.00 BOYLESPORTS 5
GALW 6.15 PILBARA 6.50 BOYLESPORTS 5
LING 6.25 Dontyouwantmebaby (2) 7.50 BOYLESPORTS 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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A place and 3 losers today for a loss of £147.38. July showed a profit of £397.13. Total now £1,926.33.

Overall there have been 1,115 selections with 183 winners, 422 places and 510 losers.

LSP is 38.53 points with a ROI of 3.5%.

The place bets have derived a profit of 80.95 points, the win bets a loss of 41.43 points.

There have been 96 occasions when the horse has finished in the extra place. This has accounted for 101.95 points.


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(@mikeywilding)
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Joined: 12 years ago
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@michael-clarke could you hedge out the win portion of the bet to reduce the losses on the win market?

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(@michael-clarke)
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I don't see the logic of this unless there is a grater than average chance that the horse will lose.

Everything else being equal I would expect to lose 2% (Betfair commission) by laying.

So with 1,115 bets at £25 I would reduce my profit by £557.50.

Unless my logic is incorrect.


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(@michael-clarke)
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COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER PLACES
GOOD 1.50 TOMMY G 5.50 888 5
HAMI 7.15 Viceregent (1) 5.00 SKY 4
HAMI 7.45 Double Ds (5) 4.00 BOYLESPORTS 4
HAMI 8.15 Peerless Percy (6) 6.00 SKY 4

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(@mikeywilding)
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Your logic is correct, but it depends on the disparity between the bookie price and the Betfair price. It may be possible to scrape that 2% back. Whether it's worth the effort is another question.

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(@michael-clarke)
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2 places and 2 losers yesterday for a loss of £95. Total now £1,831.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES  STRATEGY
LEIC 2.10 Luscifer (15) 5.00 SKY 4 EW

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(@michael-clarke)
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Yesterday's selection finished in the extra place for a breakeven day.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
YARM 2.30 Lunar Deity (2) 7.50 UNIBET 4
HAYD 4.45 Picture Frame (8) 5.00 SKY 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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Both selections lost yesterday. Total now £1,731.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
CATT 5.50 Swaffham Bulbeck (8) 3.00 BOYLESPORTS 4
SOUT 7.00 Hidden Glen 3.33 BOYLESPORTS 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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A place and a loser yesterday for a loss of £55. Total now £1,676.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
AYR 4.40 Captain Corcoran (1) 5.00 SKY 4
AYR 6.10 Only The Brave (12) 3.50 SKY 4
SLIG 6.50 Insane Bolt 4.00 UNIBET 4
LING 8.05 September Power (4) 6.50 UNIBET 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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A winner and a 2nd on Wednesday for a profit of £245. Total now £1,921.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
CART 4.20 The Black Squirrel 7.00 BOYLESPORTS 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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Yesterday's selection won for a profit of £210. Total now £2,131.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
ASCO 3.35 Caradoc (5) 3.50 BOYLESPORTS 4
HAYD 3.50 Arbalet (8) 4.00 SKY 4
CORK 4.15 PEARLS GALORE 3.50 BOYLSPORTS 5

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(@michael-clarke)
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A winner and 2 losers yesterday for a profit of £5. Total now £2,136.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  STAKE  PLACES 
THIR 3.05 LADY NECTAR 5.00 4.00 4
CURR 4.50 TEDDY BOY 4.50 4.00 4
THIR 5.20 Clifftop Heaven (12) 7.00 4.00 4
CURR 5.55 CARRYTHEONE 3.00 4.00 4

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(@michael-clarke)
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Correction.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
THIR 3.05 LADY NECTAR 5.00 BOYLESPORTS 5
CURR 4.50 TEDDY BOY 4.50 BOYLESPORTS 4
THIR 5.20 Clifftop Heaven (12) 7.00 BOYLESPORTS 4
CURR 5.55 FRANK ARTHUR 5.00 UNIBET 5

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(@michael-clarke)
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A winner, a place and 2 losers yesterday for a profit of £73. Total now £2,209.33.

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES 
SOUT 4.45 SWILLY SUNSET 5.00 UNIBET 5

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