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(@mikeywilding)
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28/07/2020 9:37 pm  

@positronic it will be to do with the type of racing. Break down the results by race criteria starting with race type, going, distance, class, prize money. See which ones it's performing in and which it's failing in. It's most likely that the make-up of evening racing is going to have different conditions to the daily racing, and the method isn't performing well on it.

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(@positronic)
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Joined: 3 years ago
Posts: 1585
28/07/2020 9:43 pm  

@mikeywilding I will dig into the stats 👍 

Give the dog a squidge behind the ear from me 🐶

And thanks for the late night answers

Will


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(@michael-clarke)
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Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 1075
29/07/2020 12:25 am  
Posted by: @mikeywilding

Non-runners won't make much of an impact on the majority of ratings.

I would have thought that when there are non-runners all of the ratings would change.

As an example in the 4.00 at Ayr Let Me Be was a non-runner at 2/1 but is still included when you export the race and it is still top rated for VDW rank and RNKSPDFIGLRADJ.


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(@mikeywilding)
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29/07/2020 10:44 am  

@michael-clarke I see your point. I should have been clearer, very few raw ratings will have any significant change. At the moment we're not adjusting rankings historically for non-runners that take place during what is considered to be the "live" betting markets.

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(@positronic)
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29/07/2020 11:14 am  

@mikeywilding @michael-clarke This below is what I was on about last night, at what point do you stop updating the live info so I know when the best time to export the pr ratings are.

the first set of numbers are from 10:30pm last night the 2nd set from 11am today as you can see the PR ratings have shifted massively and has almost completely changed the top 4 PR picks 

HorsePRScorePRProbabilityPRPotentialsPRContenderPREliminatedPROddsPRRawOdds
Isaac Wonder19.3930.04XX 1.53.33
Chinese Alphabet15.6620.63XX 2.184.85
Lady Reset11.311.84XX 3.88.44
Away At Dawn10.4410.4X  4.339.62
Dee Lane8.597.61X  5.9113.14
Del Duque7.676.39X  7.0515.66
Aire Valley Lad7.245.84  X7.717.12
Thirsty Farmer4.142.67  X16.8337.4
Watchman3.211.96  X22.9150.92
Someone You Love3.111.89  X23.7852.84
Rivers End10.71  X63.09140.19
HorsePRScorePRProbabilityPRPotentialsPRContenderPREliminatedPROddsPRRawOdds
Aire Valley Lad4.620.38  X128.4265.78
Away At Dawn37.5138.35XX 7.52.61
Dee Lane3.790.22  X322.59447.98
Del Duque14.985.62X  16.8117.79
Isaac Wonder37.5738.47XX 1.952.6
Rivers End18.749.05XX 169.9711.05
Thirsty Farmer10  X5931000
Watchman8.851.77  X102.456.44
Chinese Alphabet3.830.23  X220.36433.46
Lady Reset10.152.41X  23.6241.48
Someone You Love12.013.49X  287.928.68

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(@positronic)
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Joined: 3 years ago
Posts: 1585
29/07/2020 12:03 pm  

Day 9

First Batch

29/07/2020 12:30 Bangor-on-Dee     Grey Spirit 4.33
29/07/2020 13:00 Bangor-on-Dee      Pull Green 8.5
29/07/2020 13:10 Goodwood            Ghaziyah 6
29/07/2020 13:30 Bangor-on-Dee      Mabela 3.75
29/07/2020 13:45 Goodwood            Summer Moon 8
29/07/2020 14:00 Bangor-on-Dee     Ahead of The Curve 5.5
29/07/2020 14:15 Goodwood            Encipher 12


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(@positronic)
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29/07/2020 12:40 pm  

Takes us up to the night races

29/07/2020 14:45 Goodwood           Ben Macdui 3.75
29/07/2020 15:15 Goodwood           Siskin 3.5
29/07/2020 15:30 Bangor-on-Dee    For Jim 13
29/07/2020 15:45 Goodwood           Spright 3
29/07/2020 16:20 Goodwood           Toro Strike 5
29/07/2020 16:20 Goodwood           Muntadab 46 E/W 5


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(@mikeywilding)
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29/07/2020 4:21 pm  

I will go into the log to see what data is coming in that is causing those changes so I can give a better idea of time.

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(@positronic)
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Joined: 3 years ago
Posts: 1585
29/07/2020 4:39 pm  

@mikeywilding Thanks Michael, those timings will be very handy 


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(@positronic)
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29/07/2020 4:40 pm  

29/07/2020 17:00 Thirsk    Manshood 5


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(@positronic)
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29/07/2020 5:11 pm  

29/07/2020 17:15 Galway    Rescue Package 10
29/07/2020 17:45 Galway    Talk Of The Town 4.5
29/07/2020 18:00 Thirsk      Lorton 26 E/W


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(@positronic)
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Joined: 3 years ago
Posts: 1585
29/07/2020 5:32 pm  

29/07/2020 18:15 Galway    Bon Retour 5.5
29/07/2020 18:30 Thirsk     Kryptos 34 E/W


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(@positronic)
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29/07/2020 6:41 pm  

29/07/2020 18:45 Galway    Easy Game 8


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(@positronic)
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Posts: 1585
29/07/2020 7:09 pm  

29/07/2020 19:15 Galway     Avenir D'Une Vie 11
29/07/2020 19:30 Thirsk      Segla 12
29/07/2020 20:00 Thirsk      Moonlighting 9
29/07/2020 20:15 Galway    Sub Rocco 46 E/W 4


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(@positronic)
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Posts: 1585
29/07/2020 10:59 pm  

Results Day 9

29/07/2020 12:30 Bangor-on-Dee Grey Spirit 4.33 L
29/07/2020 13:00 Bangor-on-Dee Pull Green 8.5 L
29/07/2020 13:10 Goodwood Ghaziyah 6 L
29/07/2020 13:30 Bangor-on-Dee Mabela 3.75 L
29/07/2020 13:45 Goodwood Summer Moon 8 L
29/07/2020 14:00 Bangor-on-Dee Ahead of The Curve 5.5 L
29/07/2020 14:15 Goodwood Encipher 12 L
29/07/2020 14:45 Goodwood Steel Bull 3.75 W
29/07/2020 15:15 Goodwood Siskin 3.5 L
29/07/2020 15:30 Bangor-on-Dee For Jim 13 L
29/07/2020 15:45 Goodwood Spright 3 L
29/07/2020 16:20 Goodwood Toro Strike 5 W
29/07/2020 16:20 Goodwood Muntadab 46 E/W 5 L
29/07/2020 17:00 Thirsk Manshood 5 L
29/07/2020 17:15 Galway Rescue Package 10 L
29/07/2020 17:45 Galway Talk Of The Town 4.5 L
29/07/2020 18:00 Thirsk Lorton 26 E/W L
29/07/2020 18:15 Galway Bon Retour 5.5 W
29/07/2020 18:30 Thirsk Kryptos 34 E/W L
29/07/2020 18:45 Galway Easy Game 8 L
29/07/2020 19:15 Galway Avenir D'Une Vie 11 L
29/07/2020 19:30 Thirsk Segla 12 L
29/07/2020 20:00 Thirsk Moonlighting 9 L
29/07/2020 20:15 Galway Sub Rocco 46 E/W 4 L

Point Spend 24
Points Win 14.25
Daily Profit -9.75
Total Profit 50.05


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