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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
13/03/2020 6:57 pm  

The results for the Tracked Horses that survived the weed were:

Date Course Time Horse Bet Price Result Return Stake Profit/Loss Rolling P/L
10/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Abacadabras £5.00 4 2nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£5.00
  Cheltenham 14:10 Brewin'Upastorm £2.50 e/w 13/2 UR £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£10.00
  Cheltenham 14:50 Vinndication £2.50 e/w 6 4th £5.50 £5.00 £0.50 -£9.50
  Cheltenham 15:30 Call Me Lord £2.50 e/w 18 13th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£14.50
  Cheltenham 15:30 Pentland Hills £2.50 e/w 9 9th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£19.50
  Cheltenham 16:10 Benie Des Dieux £5.00 5/8 2nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£24.50
  Cheltenham 16:10 Honeysuckle £5.00 100/30 1st £21.67 £5.00 £16.67 -£7.83
  Cheltenham 16:50 Espoir De Guye £2.50 e/w 15/2 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£12.83
  Cheltenham 17:30 Carefully Selected £5.00 13/8 UR £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£17.83
  Newcastle 18:15 Klopp £5.00 2 4th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£22.83
11/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Envoi Allen £5.00 8/11 1st £8.64 £5.00 £3.64 -£19.19
  Cheltenham 14:10 Allaho £5.00 5/2 3rd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£24.19
  Cheltenham 14:10 Champ £5.00 4 1st £25.00 £5.00 £20.00 -£4.19
  Cheltenham 15:30 Chacun Pour Soi £5.00 6/4 NR £5.00 £5.00 £0.00 -£4.19
  Cheltenham 15:30 Defi De Seuil £5.00 2/5 4th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£9.19
  Cheltenham 16:10 Tiger Roll £5.00 4/5 2nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£14.19
  Cheltenham 17:30 Ferny Hollow £2.50 e/w 11 1st £38.00 £5.00 £33.00 £18.81
  Huntingdon 16:25 Granitic £5.00 9/4 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £13.81
12/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Itchy Feet £2.50 e/w 5 UR £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £8.81
  Cheltenham 13:30 Faugheen £5.00 7/2 3rd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £3.81
  Cheltenham 14:10 Jatiluwih £2.50 e/w 22 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£1.19
  Cheltenham 14:50 Min £5.00 9/4 1st £16.25 £5.00 £11.25 £10.06
  Cheltenham 14:50 Frodon £2.50 e/w 11/2 4th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £5.06
  Cheltenham 14:50 A Plus Tard £5.00 9/5 3rd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £0.06
  Cheltenham 15:30 Paisley Park £5.00 8/11 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£4.94
  Cheltenham 15:30 Penhill £2.50 e/w 12 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£9.94
  Cheltenham 16:50 Concertista £2.50 e/w 5 1st £20.00 £5.00 £15.00 £5.06
  Cheltenham 16:50 Colreevy £2.50 e/w 5 5th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £0.06
  Doncaster 16:25 Feuille De Chene £2.50 e/w 5 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£4.94
13/03/20 Cheltenham 14:10 Ciel De Neige £2.50 e/w 5 15th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£9.94
  Cheltenham 14:10 Aramon £2.50 e/w 7 2nd £6.50 £5.00 £1.50 -£8.44
  Cheltenham 15:30 Al Boum Photo £5.00 100/30 1st £21.67 £5.00 £16.67 £8.23
  Cheltenham 15:30 Clan Des Obeaux £2.50 e/w 7 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £3.23
  Cheltenham 15:30 Kemboy £2.50 e/w 9 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£1.77
  Cheltenham 16:50 Lisp £2.50 e/w 8 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£6.77
  Lingfield 16:20 Omnivega £5.00 11/8 1st £11.88 £5.00 £6.88 £0.11

So nothing really to show for the weeded horses.


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
13/03/2020 7:01 pm  

For those that din't survive the Weed:

Date Course Time Horse Bet Price Result Return Stake Profit/Loss Rolling P/L
10/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Chantry House £2.50 e/w 6 3rd £5.50 £5.00 £0.50 £0.50
  Cheltenham 13:30 Shishkin £2.50 e/w 11/2 1st £23.00 £5.00 £18.00 £18.50
  Cheltenham 14:10 Esprit Du Large £2.50 e/w 12 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £13.50
  Cheltenham 14:10 Fakir D'Oudairies £5.00 4 2nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £8.50
  Cheltenham 14:10 Global Citizen £2.50 e/w 22 4th £19.00 £5.00 £14.00 £22.50
  Cheltenham 14:50 Mister Malarky £2.50 e/w 12 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £17.50
  Cheltenham 14:50 No Comment £2.50 e/w 11 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £12.50
  Cheltenham 15:30 Cilaos Emery £2.50 e/w 15/2 4th £6.25 £5.00 £1.25 £13.75
  Cheltenham 15:30 Darasso £2.50 e/w 50 10th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £8.75
  Cheltenham 15:30 Fusil Raffles £2.50 e/w 25 11th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £3.75
  Cheltenham 15:30 Supasundae £2.50 e/w 11 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£1.25
  Cheltenham 16:50 Precious Cargo £2.50 e/w 14 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£6.25
  Cheltenham 16:50 Hold The Note £2.50 e/w 9 3rd £7.50 £5.00 £2.50 -£3.75
  Cheltenham 16:50 Imperial Aura £2.50 e/w 11/2 1st £21.50 £5.00 £16.50 £12.75
  Cheltenham 16:50 Galvin £2.50 e/w 8 2nd £6.50 £5.00 £1.50 £14.25
  Cheltenham 16:50 Highest Sun £2.50 e/w 28 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £9.25
  Cheltenham 16:50 Beakstown £2.50 e/w 12 5th £8.50 £5.00 £3.50 £12.75
  Newcastle 17:15 Ravenscar £2.50 e/w 7 2nd £6.88 £5.00 £1.88 £14.63
11/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Shakem Up'Arry £2.50 e/w 100 10th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £9.63
  Cheltenham 13:30 The Big Getaway £2.50 e/w 9 3rd £7.00 £5.00 £2.00 £11.63
  Cheltenham 14:10 Battleoverdoyen £2.50 e/w 7 4th £6.00 £5.00 £1.00 £12.63
  Cheltenham 14:10 Minella Indo £5.00 3 2nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £7.63
  Cheltenham 14:50 Ballymoy £2.50 e/w 50 17th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £2.63
  Cheltenham 14:50 Franco De Port £2.50 e/w 12 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£2.37
  Cheltenham 14:50 Birchdale £2.50 e/w 14 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£7.37
  Cheltenham 14:50 Canardier £2.50 e/w 7 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£12.37
  Cheltenham 16:50 Mick Pastor £2.50 e/w 10 10th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£17.37
  Cheltenham 17:30 The Glancing Queen £2.50 e/w 12 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£22.37
  Huntingdon 17:05 Funambule Sivola £2.50 e/w 12 5th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£27.37
  Kempton 18:20 Graceful Lady £5.00   NR £5.00 £5.00 £0.00 -£27.37
12/03/20 Cheltenham 13:30 Reserve Tank £2.50 e/w 22 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£32.37
  Cheltenham 13:30 Samcro £5.00 4 1st £25.00 £5.00 £20.00 -£12.37
  Cheltenham 13:30 Melon £2.50 e/w 12 2nd £9.50 £5.00 £4.50 -£7.87
  Cheltenham 13:30 Tornado Flyer £2.50 e/w 16 5th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£12.87
  Cheltenham 13:30 Midnight Shadow £2.50 e/w 20 6th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£17.87
  Cheltenham 14:10 Kilbricken Storm £2.50 e/w 16 14th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£22.87
  Cheltenham 14:10 Stoney Mountain £2.50 e/w 33 9th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£27.87
  Cheltenham 14:10 Dingo Dollar £2.50 e/w 50 UR £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£32.87
  Cheltenham 14:50 Duc Des Genievres £2.50 e/w 25 5th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£37.87
  Cheltenham 14:50 Saint Calvados £2.50 e/w 22 2nd £13.50 £5.00 £8.50 -£29.37
  Cheltenham 14:50 Shattered Love £2.50 e/w 28 6th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£34.37
  Cheltenham 15:30 Apple's Jade £2.50 e/w 18 8th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£39.37
  Cheltenham 15:30 Emitom £2.50 e/w 12 4th £8.50 £5.00 £3.50 -£35.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Summerville Boy £2.50 e/w 17/2 5th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£40.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 West Approach £2.50 e/w 80 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£45.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 City Island £2.50 e/w 14 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£50.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Tobefair £2.50 e/w 50 6th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£55.87
  Cheltenham 16:10 Spiritofthegames £2.50 e/w 18 6th £11.50 £5.00 £6.50 -£49.37
  Cheltenham 16:10 Deyrann De Carjac £2.50 e/w 12 17th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£54.37
  Cheltenham 16:10 Not Another Muddle £2.50 e/w 20 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£59.37
  Cheltenham 16:10 Louis Vac Pouch £2.50 e/w 66 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£64.37
  Cheltenham 16:50 Minella Melody £5.00 3 18th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£69.37
  Cheltenham 16:50 Yukon Lil £2.50 e/w 20 4th £12.50 £5.00 £7.50 -£61.87
  Cheltenham 17:30 Kilfilum Cross £2.50 e/w 9 2nd £7.00 £5.00 £2.00 -£59.87
  Cheltenham 17:30 Le Breuil £2.50 e/w 11/2 11th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£64.87
13/03/20 Cheltenham 14:10 Eldorado Allen £2.50 e/w 40 22nd £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£69.87
  Cheltenham 14:50 The Wolf £2.50 e/w 125 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£74.87
  Cheltenham 14:50 Cobblers Way £2.50 e/w 14 PU £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£79.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Santini £2.50 e/w 5 2nd £5.00 £5.00 £0.00 -£79.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Delta Work £2.50 e/w 5 5th £5.00 £5.00 £0.00 -£79.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Chris's Dream £2.50 e/w 25 10th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£84.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Real Steel £2.50 e/w 66 6th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£89.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Lostintranslation £2.50 e/w 9 3rd £7.00 £5.00 £2.00 -£87.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Presenting Percy £2.50 e/w 12 F £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£92.87
  Cheltenham 15:30 Elegant Escape £2.50 e/w 80 11th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£97.87
  Cheltenham 16:50 Paloma Blue £2.50 e/w 10 12th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£102.87
  Cheltenham 17:30 Five O'Clock £2.50 e/w 8 7th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 -£107.87
  Cheltenham 17:30 Indefatigable £2.50 e/w 40 1st £125.00 £5.00 £120.00 £12.13
  Lingfield 15:40 Anna Maria £2.50 e/w 6 4th £0.00 £5.00 -£5.00 £7.13

Again not a lot to show for 70 Bets but still a profit (Thanks largely to the final Cheltenham race otherwise it would have been a large loss)


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
14/03/2020 9:46 am  

A quiet day for a Saturday with 4 Surviving the Weed:

Kempton 14:05 McFabulous
Kempton 14:40 Bullionaire
Kempton 14:40 Downtown Getaway
Navan 13:45 Blackbow

and 11 not surviving the Weed:

Fontwell 14:15 Duhallow Gesture
Kempton 13:30 Return Ticket
Kempton 14:05 Eden Du Houx
Kempton 14:05 Severano
Kempton 14:40 Fanfan Du Seuil
Kempton 14:40 Coeur De Lion
Kempton 14:40 Didtheyleaveuoutto
Kempton 15:15 Whatswrongwithyou
Navan 14:55 Sixshooter
Navan 15:30 Ornua
Uttoxeter 16:45 Louse Talk

Happy Punting all


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
15/03/2020 9:09 am  

Yesterday there were 2 Winners (McFabulous & Duhallow Gesture) and 5 Places (Return Ticket, Eden Du Houx, Severeano, Six Shooter & Ornua) resulting in the Weeded showing a loss of -0.50 Points and the unWeeded a loss of -0.05 Points.

Only 1 Tracked today which survives the Weed:

Carlisle 2:30 First Flow

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
16/03/2020 8:22 am  

Yesterdays Selection won for a profit of +0.07 Points.

Today there is again only 1 Tracked horse which survives the Weed:

Hereford 4:20 Jury's Out

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
17/03/2020 8:58 am  

Nothing to show for yesterday so -1.00 Point.

Today only 1 tracked horse which survives the weed:

 

Wetherby 3:45 Present from Dubai

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
21/03/2020 8:02 am  

3 Tracked today, none survive the weed and, as it happens, all are in the same race:

Thurles 15:10 Dallas Des Pictons
Thurles 15:!0 Cappucimix
Thurles 15:10 Dunvegan

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
01/06/2020 7:34 am  

I've got to say it's Good To Back!

 

For those of you who are interested I've been tracking some horses and posting them on here since October 2019 - I've been trying to be more selective in my betting and so decided to trial a filter for them - this resulted in what I called Weeded & UnWeeded selections.

 

Simply put I used the Rating the Races Rank for the filter - if the Selection was ranked in a position where an Each Way Bet would pay out then it survived the Weed otherwise it was Weeded out.

Anything 5-1 and over was done Each Way

I originally ran the test until the end of January but have continued as I found that both systems were showing a profit. To date

Weeded: 537 runners 187 Wins Strike Rate 34.76% A/E 1.04 Avg Odds 4.44

150 e/w Selections 67 Places 44.67% A/E 1.06 Avg e/w Odds 2.53 (for the e/w part of the bet

Profit +37.68 Points

 

UnWeeded: 785 runners 100 winners Strike Rate 12.74% A/E 1.18 Avg Odds 1.43

609 e/w Selections 202 Places 33.17% A/E 1.03 Avg e/w Odds 4.24

Profit +45.44 Points

 

Not too shabby even if I do say so myself - I suppose I really need to think about a Staking Plan rather than the straightforward e/w - I'll have a think about it as I'm not tinkering with any system until at least September.

 

Today my Tracked horses provided 4 Selections 2 of which survived the Weed and 2 didn't

 

Those that survived the Weed ie have been Weeded:

Newcastle 14:45 Art Power
Newcastle 15:20 Tricky Dicky

 

Those that didn't survive the Weed  ie have the unWeeded:

Newcastle 13:00 Stone Mason
Newcastle 15:20 Dalton

Happy Punting


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1887
01/06/2020 11:32 am  

@johnwaters1965 great to have you back 🙂 thank you for the update, and looking forward to following this through until September. It's looking good, and when you're ready to look at staking just say.

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
01/06/2020 11:54 am  

@mikeywilding by September I'll have approx 9-10 months worth of bets over a 12 month period allowing for breaks and lockdown so it would seem like a good time to review things and here would seem the logical place to review them with so much knowledge floating around.


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
02/06/2020 7:29 am  

Yesterday Art Power won rsulting in a +0.6 Point profit for the Weeded and -2.0 Point loss for the UnWeeded.

 

11 Tracked today 6 survive the Weed and 5 do not

Weeded:

Kempton 15:20 Cold Front
Kempton 15:55 The Glancing Queen
Kempton 17:05 Ned Pepper
Newcastle 14:30 Mubakker
Newcastle 14:30 Glen Shiel
Newcastle 18:00 Sucellus

UnWeeded:

Kempton 15:55 Imrahor
Kempton 15:55 Photograph
Newcastle 14:30 Cold Stare
Newcastle 14:30 Justanotherbottle
Newcastle 18:00 Society Red

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
03/06/2020 11:21 am  

Yesterday was a disappointing day - Imrahor was Withdrawn, Mubakker won and Glen Shiel placed leaving the Weeded showing a loss of -1.20 Points and the UnWeeded a loss of -4.00 Points.

 

6 Tracked today 5 survive the Weed and one doesn't

Weeded:

Yarmouth 12:45 Celestran
Yarmouth 15:05 Enemy
Yarmouth 15:40 Higher Kingdom
Kempton 14:10 Sun Bear
Kempton 14:45 Born With Pride

The UnWeeded is in the :45 at Kempton - Hypothetical

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
04/06/2020 8:46 am  

Celestran won yesterday but that was all I had to show. Weeded showed a loss of -0.5 Points and UnWeeded a loss of -1.0 Points.

 

Today there are 7 Tracked 3 survive the Weed and 4 don't

Weeded:

Newcastle 13:00 Guipure
Newcastle 13:35 Splinter
Newmarket 17:20 Magic J

 

UnWeeded:

Newmarket 17:20 Gold At Midnight
Newmarket 17:55 Lyndon B
Newmarket 17:55 Rathbone
Newmarket 17:55 Kimifive

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
05/06/2020 9:49 am  

Yesterday saw a win for Guipure and a profit for the Weeded of +1.60 Points - The UnWeeded saw a loss of -4.00 Points.

13 Tracked today - 4 survived the weed, 8 are unweeded and 1 - Sangarius (Newmarket 3:00) is a Non Runner.

The Weeded:

Lingfield 14:40 Miss Yoda
Lingfield 17:35 Jovial
Newmarket 14:25 Oxted
Newmarket 18:30 Ice Lord

 

The UnWeeded:

Lingfield 14:40 Heart Reef
Newmarket 13:50 Dazzling Dan
Newmarket 13:50 Tinto
Newmarket 15:00 Prince Eiji
Newmarket 15:35 Broome
Newmarket 16:10 Chesterfield
Newmarket 17:55 Gunmetal
Newmarket 18:30 Wentworth Falls

 

Happy Punting


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John Waters
(@johnwaters1965)
Honorable Member
Joined: 12 months ago
Posts: 720
06/06/2020 10:01 am  

Some good results yesterday - Wins for Miss Yoda, Jovial, Oxted & Tinto as well as places for Ice Lord, Prince Eiji & Wentworth Falls. This resulted in a profit for the Weeded of +6.63 Points and for the UnWeeded of +19.5 Points (Largely down to Tinto & BOG) 🙂

 

Today there are 22 Selections - 9 Survived the Weed and 13 remain UnWeeded.

 

Weeded:

Newmarket 14:25 Terebellum
Newmarket 15:00 Waldkonig
Newmarket 15:35 Pinatubo
Newmarket 15:35 Al Suhail
Newmarket 16:45 Blown By Wind
Newmarket 17:55 Byron Flyer
Newmarket 17:55 Rock Eagle
Newmarket 17:55 Calculation
Newcastle 18:15 Global Art

 

The UnWeeded:

Newmarket 14:25 Queen Power
Newmarket 14:25 Ardiente
Newmarket 15:00 Punctuation
Newmarket 15:35 Military March
Newmarket 15:35 Wichita
Newmarket 15:35 Kenzai Warrior
Newmarket 15:35 Kinross
Newmarket 15:35 Mums Tipple
Newmarket 16:10 King's Pavillion
Newmarket 16:10 Alfred Boucher
Newmarket 17:20 King Ragnar
Newcastle 15:15 Acquitted
Lingfield 18:05 Mostawaa

Happy Punting


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