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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
01/12/2019 11:12 am  

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys / honeysuckle

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil 

3.40  ferny hollow

This topic was modified 5 days ago by Carl Newbury

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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
Member Admin
Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1000
02/12/2019 11:18 am  
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea (PLACE) / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen (WON) / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys (PLACE) / honeysuckle (WON)

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil (WON)

3.40  ferny hollow (PLACE)

Not a bad play 🙂

 


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stuart atkinson
(@satkinson_uk)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 24
02/12/2019 1:01 pm  
Posted by: @admin
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea (PLACE) / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen (WON) / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys (PLACE) / honeysuckle (WON)

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil (WON)

3.40  ferny hollow (PLACE)

Not a bad play 🙂

 

Standard Card


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
02/12/2019 2:41 pm  

Not the standard card it’s very basic

Only vdw form

5278

OR

Rprating

Delete all odds lines and weight

Trying top 3 picks to see how it goes

 

Monday

Plumpton

3.00  sadma / stormingin / vicenzo mio

3.30  counteract / kilconny bridge / jungle prose

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  sir hector / guardia Svizzera / oh so nice

4.15  Olympic conqueror / fares poet / crimewave

4.45 Arabic culture / singing sheriff / matewan

5.15  king athelstan / herm / homesick boy

5.45  doubly beautiful / ghost buy / Kentucky kingdom

6.15  seraphim / ubla / mount wellington

6.45  cupboard love / innamorare / bubble and squeak

7.15  elena / impressionable / star talent

 

This post was modified 4 days ago by Carl Newbury

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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
Member Admin
Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1000
02/12/2019 9:01 pm  
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

Not the standard card it’s very basic

Only vdw form

5278

OR

Rprating

Delete all odds lines and weight

Trying top 3 picks to see how it goes

 

Monday

Plumpton

3.00  sadma / stormingin / vicenzo mio

3.30  counteract / kilconny bridge / jungle prose

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  sir hector / guardia Svizzera / oh so nice

4.15  Olympic conqueror / fares poet / crimewave

4.45 Arabic culture / singing sheriff / matewan

5.15  king athelstan / herm / homesick boy

5.45  doubly beautiful / ghost buy / Kentucky kingdom

6.15  seraphim / ubla / mount wellington

6.45  cupboard love / innamorare / bubble and squeak

7.15  elena / impressionable / star talent

 

At a quick glance, a place and a win at Plumpton and 4 places and 4 wins at Wolverhampton I think, with just one race getting nothing in the frame.

Will follow with interest 🙂


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
03/12/2019 4:54 am  

Tuesday

 

Dundalk

1.55  spelga / make good / storm steps

2.25  getaway queen / Solomon’s seal / taliyna

2.55  master speaker / billyfairplay / sevenleft

3.25  balmari / prince of Naples / whoareyouanyway

4.00  estepona sun / gold factory / no days off

4.30  Sabrina Fairchild / noirvento / ticks the boxes

5.00  improving / tribal path / ahundrednotout

5.30  passing trade / brothers in arms / dubai rainbow

 

Lingfield

12.45  northern poet / Edward blue

1.15  early morning rain / magens moon / tarks hill

1.45  ballyart / pres

2.15  ruacana / nelsons touch

2.45  The game is a foot / imperial acolyte

3.15  Tara bridge / shanahans turn

 

Southwell

12.30  loveherandleaveher / ballybough nora

1.00  katpoli / monsieur d’arque / vado forte

1.30  first lord de cuet / keep rolling / overtrumped

2.05  victarian / mr love

2.35  boss man Fred / balagan / midnight chill

3.05  tis fantastic / Norwegian woods / cold fusion

3.35  Giovanni change / small present

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  high fort / queen Mia / lethal Laura

4.15 unforgiving minute / shady McCoy / azzeccagarbugli

4.45  no nay Bella / noble dawn / dubai quality

5.15  michele strogoff / storm ahead

5.45  excellent George / three little birds

6.15  miss garger / tobeeornottobee

6.45  rajinsky / cry wolf / western duke

7.15  majestic stone / ahfad / embers glow


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
04/12/2019 5:29 am  

Wednesday

 

haydock

12.50  arctic road / one more fleurie

1.20  Bally Conor / blue laureate

1.55  champagne mystery / fidux

2.25  sunny express / Marie’s rock / on to victory

3.00  cobolobo / never up

3.30  Romeo brown / informateur / nebuchadnezzar

 

Kempton

3.40  maazel / drop kick murphi

4.10  sound mixer / al dawodiya / Ayr harbour

4.40  mittys smile

5.10  royal birth / lethal lunch / lady dancealot

5.40  weekender / hameem

6.10  royal star / lord Halifax / debbonair

6.40  lethal missile / rangali island / scofflaw

7.10  purple paddy / crimson king

 

Lingfield

12.10  Global hope / beepeecee / fancy flyer

12.40  holy eleanor

1.10  captain Jameson / typhoon ten / baby steps

1.45  Kuwait currency

2.15 mrs ivy / king athelstan / be fair

2.50  mrs Upjohn / tacitly / alianne

3.20  yasir / earthly / attain

 

Ludlow

12.30  ballyellis / fair Kate / spring steel

1.00  duc kauto / beni light / rizzardo

1.30  darling du large / diamond gait / Liberty Bella

2.05  another venture / another stowaway

2.40  commodore Barry / sizing at midnight

3.10  those tiger feet / constante via

3.45  Sabrina / lex eleven / didonato


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John Hopkinson
(@johnnynoodles1)
New Member
Joined: 2 weeks ago
Posts: 1
04/12/2019 3:49 pm  

Good 3 winners with 3 2nd's on the Lingfield card,only Kuwait Currency didn't turn up.Which stats are you ticking on your Monte Carlo sim ?


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
04/12/2019 8:25 pm  

Hi John 

only using 

5278

vdw form

or

rprating


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
05/12/2019 4:48 am  

Thursday

Not enough time to go through the whole day today or narrow down selections 

Clonmel

11.40  carrigmoorna pine / millen to one / Nathaniel’s dream

12.10  Bee a beneficiary / shantou sisu / thatbeatsbanagher

12.40  rathvinden / the storyteller / class conti

1.10  capture the action / fourina / sea scorpion

1.45  batcio / fur elise / countless Cathleen

2.20  touch of Oscar / niccolai / brog ahaon

2.55  steer clear / dontdooddson / kabanaghs corner

3.30  braeside / tempting Tara / arahecan

 

Kempton

4.00  littledidyouknow / amarillo star / ivatheengine

4.35  katzoff / arbiter / September power

5.10  phuket power / lottie Marie / disco fever

5.40  pyramid place / fiveandtwenty / itkaan

6.15  make it rain / believe in love / indigo lake

6.45  aswaat / lisbet / morning shadow

7.15  baadirr / Fleet Street / hurricane Alex

7.45  earth and sky / little palaver / stringybarkcreek

 

Leicester

12.10  skeaping / clearly capable / blow by blow

12.45  shanacoole prince / alnadam / hold that taught

1.20 broughtons rhythm / rizzardo / arqalina

1.55  chirico vallis / star of Rory / never equalled

2.30  velkera / whiteoak fleur / castlegrace rose

3.05  land league / joly maker / lady master

3.40  drewman legend / drumreagh / wise coco


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
05/12/2019 3:34 pm  

Home early so thought I’d look at southwell

4.15  comeatchoo / oasis song / classy lady

4.50  clipsham tiger / motahassen / jazz hands

5.25  Alameery / sommer katze / six til twelve

6.00  angel lane / contingency fee / panstos 

6.30  asdaa / Astro jack / rock sound

7.00  honey gg / eesha says / arzaak

7.30  thahab ifraj / tynecastle park / heron

8.00  break the silence / global melody / sylviacliffs


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AndrewP
(@andrewp)
Estimable Member
Joined: 11 months ago
Posts: 249
05/12/2019 4:36 pm  

As at the end of racing on 4th December I make the A/E figures to BSP,

Win   30/30.63 = 0.98

Place 74/72.37 = 1.02

About what you'd expect from any reasonable rating in terms of of narrowing the field.


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 246
06/12/2019 6:51 am  

Friday

 

Dundalk

5.15  arcanears / dash d’or / nigg bay

5.45  in the present / snapollentia / taggalo

6.15  tyrconnell / midnitemudcrabs / Paris duvet

6.45  major power / beleaguerment / eastern star

7.15  geological / theobald / Gordon lord byron

7.45  bold approach / sky seven / charcor

8.15  narynkol / golden valour / final orders

8.45  rips dream / pepperoni Pete / art of America

 

Exeter

12.25  all good things / ishyaboi / get wishing

12.55  sporting John / guy / starsky

1.30  present value / earlofthecotswolds / kateson

2.05  those tiger feet / rosserk abbey / court affairs

2.35  keep moving / just don’t ask / luckofthedrawer

3.05  petite power / dancing shadow / sackett

3.40  time to tinker / the widdow maker / call Simon

 

Newcastle

3.15  hooflepuff / thawry / mamdood

3.50  secret diary / constitutional / pearl stream

4.25  dulas / glen force / Danny ocean

5.00  Glenamoy lad / heath charnock / brushwork

5.30  dancing rave / insurplus / onebaba

6.00  dawry / yuri gagarin / angel lane

6.30  song of the isles / summer daydream / valley of fire

7.00  broughton excels / Jeffrey Harris / herringswell

 

Sandown

12.45  goshen / goa lil / the pink’n

1.20  johnbb / awake at midnight / darebin

1.55  legal eyes / canelo / eragon de chanay

2.25  ofalltheginjoints / happygolucky / enrilo

2.55  le reve / barbrook star / Plantagenet

3.30  mickey buckman / sunrise ruby / guardia top

 

Sedgefield

12.05  alltimegold / juals spirit / nefyn point

12.35  wax and wane / dakota beat / shaws bridge

1.05  crackdeloust / raashdy / gennady

1.40  Agamemnon / justforJames / crank em up

2.15  minella trump / Tara mill / do not disturb

2.45  twasn’t the plan / instant replay / manwell

3.20  yorvik / western run / pollyamorous


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