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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
01/12/2019 11:12 am  

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys / honeysuckle

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil 

3.40  ferny hollow


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1649
02/12/2019 11:18 am  
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea (PLACE) / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen (WON) / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys (PLACE) / honeysuckle (WON)

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil (WON)

3.40  ferny hollow (PLACE)

Not a bad play 🙂

 

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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stuart atkinson
(@satkinson_uk)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 47
02/12/2019 1:01 pm  
Posted by: @admin
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

not a lot of racing today so thought i would have a little play around with monte carlo

12.30  a wave of the sea (PLACE) / dinard rose

1.00  envoi allen (WON) / foveros / midnight run

1.30  burrows saint / samcro 

2.05  the gatechecker 

2.40  bacardys (PLACE) / honeysuckle (WON)

3.10  mister blue sky / janidil (WON)

3.40  ferny hollow (PLACE)

Not a bad play 🙂

 

Standard Card


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
02/12/2019 2:41 pm  

Not the standard card it’s very basic

Only vdw form

5278

OR

Rprating

Delete all odds lines and weight

Trying top 3 picks to see how it goes

 

Monday

Plumpton

3.00  sadma / stormingin / vicenzo mio

3.30  counteract / kilconny bridge / jungle prose

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  sir hector / guardia Svizzera / oh so nice

4.15  Olympic conqueror / fares poet / crimewave

4.45 Arabic culture / singing sheriff / matewan

5.15  king athelstan / herm / homesick boy

5.45  doubly beautiful / ghost buy / Kentucky kingdom

6.15  seraphim / ubla / mount wellington

6.45  cupboard love / innamorare / bubble and squeak

7.15  elena / impressionable / star talent

 


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1649
02/12/2019 9:01 pm  
Posted by: @carlnewbury72

Not the standard card it’s very basic

Only vdw form

5278

OR

Rprating

Delete all odds lines and weight

Trying top 3 picks to see how it goes

 

Monday

Plumpton

3.00  sadma / stormingin / vicenzo mio

3.30  counteract / kilconny bridge / jungle prose

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  sir hector / guardia Svizzera / oh so nice

4.15  Olympic conqueror / fares poet / crimewave

4.45 Arabic culture / singing sheriff / matewan

5.15  king athelstan / herm / homesick boy

5.45  doubly beautiful / ghost buy / Kentucky kingdom

6.15  seraphim / ubla / mount wellington

6.45  cupboard love / innamorare / bubble and squeak

7.15  elena / impressionable / star talent

 

At a quick glance, a place and a win at Plumpton and 4 places and 4 wins at Wolverhampton I think, with just one race getting nothing in the frame.

Will follow with interest 🙂

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
03/12/2019 4:54 am  

Tuesday

 

Dundalk

1.55  spelga / make good / storm steps

2.25  getaway queen / Solomon’s seal / taliyna

2.55  master speaker / billyfairplay / sevenleft

3.25  balmari / prince of Naples / whoareyouanyway

4.00  estepona sun / gold factory / no days off

4.30  Sabrina Fairchild / noirvento / ticks the boxes

5.00  improving / tribal path / ahundrednotout

5.30  passing trade / brothers in arms / dubai rainbow

 

Lingfield

12.45  northern poet / Edward blue

1.15  early morning rain / magens moon / tarks hill

1.45  ballyart / pres

2.15  ruacana / nelsons touch

2.45  The game is a foot / imperial acolyte

3.15  Tara bridge / shanahans turn

 

Southwell

12.30  loveherandleaveher / ballybough nora

1.00  katpoli / monsieur d’arque / vado forte

1.30  first lord de cuet / keep rolling / overtrumped

2.05  victarian / mr love

2.35  boss man Fred / balagan / midnight chill

3.05  tis fantastic / Norwegian woods / cold fusion

3.35  Giovanni change / small present

 

Wolverhampton

3.45  high fort / queen Mia / lethal Laura

4.15 unforgiving minute / shady McCoy / azzeccagarbugli

4.45  no nay Bella / noble dawn / dubai quality

5.15  michele strogoff / storm ahead

5.45  excellent George / three little birds

6.15  miss garger / tobeeornottobee

6.45  rajinsky / cry wolf / western duke

7.15  majestic stone / ahfad / embers glow


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
04/12/2019 5:29 am  

Wednesday

 

haydock

12.50  arctic road / one more fleurie

1.20  Bally Conor / blue laureate

1.55  champagne mystery / fidux

2.25  sunny express / Marie’s rock / on to victory

3.00  cobolobo / never up

3.30  Romeo brown / informateur / nebuchadnezzar

 

Kempton

3.40  maazel / drop kick murphi

4.10  sound mixer / al dawodiya / Ayr harbour

4.40  mittys smile

5.10  royal birth / lethal lunch / lady dancealot

5.40  weekender / hameem

6.10  royal star / lord Halifax / debbonair

6.40  lethal missile / rangali island / scofflaw

7.10  purple paddy / crimson king

 

Lingfield

12.10  Global hope / beepeecee / fancy flyer

12.40  holy eleanor

1.10  captain Jameson / typhoon ten / baby steps

1.45  Kuwait currency

2.15 mrs ivy / king athelstan / be fair

2.50  mrs Upjohn / tacitly / alianne

3.20  yasir / earthly / attain

 

Ludlow

12.30  ballyellis / fair Kate / spring steel

1.00  duc kauto / beni light / rizzardo

1.30  darling du large / diamond gait / Liberty Bella

2.05  another venture / another stowaway

2.40  commodore Barry / sizing at midnight

3.10  those tiger feet / constante via

3.45  Sabrina / lex eleven / didonato


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John Hopkinson
(@johnnynoodles1)
Active Member
Joined: 6 months ago
Posts: 8
04/12/2019 3:49 pm  

Good 3 winners with 3 2nd's on the Lingfield card,only Kuwait Currency didn't turn up.Which stats are you ticking on your Monte Carlo sim ?


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
04/12/2019 8:25 pm  

Hi John 

only using 

5278

vdw form

or

rprating


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
05/12/2019 4:48 am  

Thursday

Not enough time to go through the whole day today or narrow down selections 

Clonmel

11.40  carrigmoorna pine / millen to one / Nathaniel’s dream

12.10  Bee a beneficiary / shantou sisu / thatbeatsbanagher

12.40  rathvinden / the storyteller / class conti

1.10  capture the action / fourina / sea scorpion

1.45  batcio / fur elise / countless Cathleen

2.20  touch of Oscar / niccolai / brog ahaon

2.55  steer clear / dontdooddson / kabanaghs corner

3.30  braeside / tempting Tara / arahecan

 

Kempton

4.00  littledidyouknow / amarillo star / ivatheengine

4.35  katzoff / arbiter / September power

5.10  phuket power / lottie Marie / disco fever

5.40  pyramid place / fiveandtwenty / itkaan

6.15  make it rain / believe in love / indigo lake

6.45  aswaat / lisbet / morning shadow

7.15  baadirr / Fleet Street / hurricane Alex

7.45  earth and sky / little palaver / stringybarkcreek

 

Leicester

12.10  skeaping / clearly capable / blow by blow

12.45  shanacoole prince / alnadam / hold that taught

1.20 broughtons rhythm / rizzardo / arqalina

1.55  chirico vallis / star of Rory / never equalled

2.30  velkera / whiteoak fleur / castlegrace rose

3.05  land league / joly maker / lady master

3.40  drewman legend / drumreagh / wise coco


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
05/12/2019 3:34 pm  

Home early so thought I’d look at southwell

4.15  comeatchoo / oasis song / classy lady

4.50  clipsham tiger / motahassen / jazz hands

5.25  Alameery / sommer katze / six til twelve

6.00  angel lane / contingency fee / panstos 

6.30  asdaa / Astro jack / rock sound

7.00  honey gg / eesha says / arzaak

7.30  thahab ifraj / tynecastle park / heron

8.00  break the silence / global melody / sylviacliffs


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AndrewP
(@andrewp)
Reputable Member
Joined: 1 year ago
Posts: 429
05/12/2019 4:36 pm  

As at the end of racing on 4th December I make the A/E figures to BSP,

Win   30/30.63 = 0.98

Place 74/72.37 = 1.02

About what you'd expect from any reasonable rating in terms of of narrowing the field.


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
06/12/2019 6:51 am  

Friday

 

Dundalk

5.15  arcanears / dash d’or / nigg bay

5.45  in the present / snapollentia / taggalo

6.15  tyrconnell / midnitemudcrabs / Paris duvet

6.45  major power / beleaguerment / eastern star

7.15  geological / theobald / Gordon lord byron

7.45  bold approach / sky seven / charcor

8.15  narynkol / golden valour / final orders

8.45  rips dream / pepperoni Pete / art of America

 

Exeter

12.25  all good things / ishyaboi / get wishing

12.55  sporting John / guy / starsky

1.30  present value / earlofthecotswolds / kateson

2.05  those tiger feet / rosserk abbey / court affairs

2.35  keep moving / just don’t ask / luckofthedrawer

3.05  petite power / dancing shadow / sackett

3.40  time to tinker / the widdow maker / call Simon

 

Newcastle

3.15  hooflepuff / thawry / mamdood

3.50  secret diary / constitutional / pearl stream

4.25  dulas / glen force / Danny ocean

5.00  Glenamoy lad / heath charnock / brushwork

5.30  dancing rave / insurplus / onebaba

6.00  dawry / yuri gagarin / angel lane

6.30  song of the isles / summer daydream / valley of fire

7.00  broughton excels / Jeffrey Harris / herringswell

 

Sandown

12.45  goshen / goa lil / the pink’n

1.20  johnbb / awake at midnight / darebin

1.55  legal eyes / canelo / eragon de chanay

2.25  ofalltheginjoints / happygolucky / enrilo

2.55  le reve / barbrook star / Plantagenet

3.30  mickey buckman / sunrise ruby / guardia top

 

Sedgefield

12.05  alltimegold / juals spirit / nefyn point

12.35  wax and wane / dakota beat / shaws bridge

1.05  crackdeloust / raashdy / gennady

1.40  Agamemnon / justforJames / crank em up

2.15  minella trump / Tara mill / do not disturb

2.45  twasn’t the plan / instant replay / manwell

3.20  yorvik / western run / pollyamorous


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
07/12/2019 10:47 am  

Saturday

 

Aintree

11.30  champagne mist / eswardstone / Cardiff bay

12.00  Casablanca mix / Atlanta ablaze / listen dear

12.30  cap st Vincent / amoola gold / fixed rate

1.00  one night in Milan / clyne / whiskey in the jar

1.30  ballyoptic / alpha des obeaux / walk in the mill

2.05  midnight gift / gavrocheka / operatic export

2.40  native river / black corton / might bite

3.15  flying angel / gold present / touch kick

 

Chepstow

12.20  native robin / dorking cock / francky du berlais

12.55  jepeck / blackjack Kentucky / Oscar asche

1.25  juge et parti / muffins for tea / remastered

1.55  captain cattistock / calipto / golden sunshine

2.30  sojourn / dominateur / trio for Rio

3.05  meyer lansky / equus dancer / the swagman

3.40  lamanver storm / mighty meg / cadmar

 

Navan

12.05  fusain / pure genius / the broghie man

12.35  longhouse poet / column of fire / aarons day

1.05  coko beach / acapella bourgeois / dandy mag

1.35  voix des tiep / dommage pour toi / the gunner Murphy

2.10  eclair de beaufeu / I’m a game changer / tornado flyer

2.45  ex patriot / Ben Dundee / glenloe

3.20  wide receiver / en beton / inviction

 

Sandown

12.15  fiddlerontheroof / grey getaway / de barley basket

12.50  aimee de sivola / deputy’s Oscar / Henrietta bell

1.20  lord of the island / eur gone west / boyhood

1.50  torpillo / Summerville boy / grand sancy

2.25  makaya / smarty wild / aiguille rouge

3.00  un de sceaux / defi du seuil / sceau royal

3.35  houblon des obeaux / classic Ben / dragon d’estruval

 

Wetherby

12.10  young bull / Oscar Robertson / black ebony

12.40  manoftgemoment / gameface / delirious love

1.10  presence felt / dubai angel / reve

1.40  charmant / ubaltique / Demi sang

2.15  snookered / suggestion / lucky icon

2.50  shamilan / big nasty / cash to ash

3.25  sazerak / red dragoness / teasing Georgia

 

Wolverhampton

4.50  takeonefortheteam / star of valour / gavi di gavi

5.20  born to reason / muraaqeb / zayriyan

5.50  zoran / zeumaam / borstal bull

6.20  raaeb / maystar / auchterarder

6.50  bahuta acha / Alicia darcy / desert fox

7.20  paths of glory / francis Xavier / getchagetchagetcha

7.50  miss Elsa / power home / last enchantment

8.20  silverbook / sharp suited / Brighton pier

 


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Carl Newbury
(@carlnewbury72)
Honorable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 591
08/12/2019 11:33 am  

After 7 days 

177 races 

507 selections 

84 winners 

133 placed 

thought I’d try something to narrow selections down I’ll post before and after eliminations 

Sunday

  

Cork

12.35  pasley / bajan excell / millford sound

1.05  tecumesh Sherman / hill of truth / fag an bealach

1.35  larqubuse / well set up / vis ta loi

2.05  goodbye someday / powersbomb / mountain fox

2.35  ballyoisin / cilaos emery / great field

3.05  agusta gold / tintangle / sinoria

3.35  golden glen / the chapel field / crimson chief

 

Huntingdon

12.30  little jack / twenty twenty / Emma lamb

1.00  tarada / battys dilemma / sizing cusimano

1.30  magic dancer / tea clipper / ferrobin

2.00  top notch / aso / la bague au roi

2.30  known / mandalayan / west cork

3.00  Vegas blue / white hart lady / flying risk

3.30  brigadier bob / Oscar ceremony / crossley tender

 

Kelso

12.15  ask himself / elf de re / heartbreak kid

12.45  two for gold / coole hall

1.15  weststreet / no hassle hoff / bafana blue

1.45  highway companion / rubytwo / paper promise

2.15  cultram abbey / bernardelli / claud and goldie

2.45  glorious lady / aurora thunder / blossoming forth

3.15  put the law on you / Elle est grande / big bad dream

 

Punchestown

12.20  quartz de rheu / tiger voice / anything will do

12.50  minella melody / ard abhainn / mount ida

1.20  artic pearl / treacysenniscorthy / email rose

1.50  min / anibale fly / real steel

2.20  valdieu / breaken

2.50  luckyinMilan / lady writer

3.20  gladiatorial / grangeclare native / jungle junction

  Narrowed down selections 

Cork

12.35  pasley

1.05  tecumesh Sherman

1.35  well set up

2.35  ballyoisin

3.35  golden glen

 

Huntingdon

1.00  tarada / sizing cusimano

1.30  tea clipper / ferrobin

2.00  aso / la bague au roi

2.30  mandalayan

3.00  Vegas blue / white hart lady

3.30  brigadier bob

 

Kelso

12.15  ask himself

12.45  two for gold / coole hall

1.15  bafana blue

1.45  rubytwo / paper promise

2.45  glorious lady / aurora thunder /

3.15  Elle est grande

 

Punchestown

12.20  anything will do

1.20  artic pearl / treacysenniscorthy

1.50  min / anibale fly

2.20  breaken

2.50  luckyinMilan


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