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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
15/01/2019 9:30 pm  

Kempton

16:30 Cape Greco @3.00 single

19:30 Chloellie @5.00 single

Newbury

13:10 Ar West @4.00 single

14:50 Horatio Hornblower @11:00 E/W

Plumpton

14:00 Very Live @10:00 E/W no longer a bet

14:35 Magestic @13:00 E/W

15:00  Kilfinchen Bay @7.50 single

16:10 King Muro @4.50 single


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Michael Wilding
(@mikeywilding)
Member Admin
Joined: 11 years ago
Posts: 1887
16/01/2019 2:47 pm  

Hi Mick, great to have you here as always 🙂 I'm looking forward to following your thread.

The Race Advisor now has an Instagram channel. You can follow us on Instagram here.


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
16/01/2019 6:13 pm  

Hi Michael,

 

Glad to back, looking to get back in the fold been off the grid punting wise ( apart from trading ) so have come back refrteshed


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
16/01/2019 7:46 pm  

Kempton

16:30 Cape Greco @3.00 single Lost

19:30 Chloellie @5.00 single Win

Newbury

13:10 Ar West @4.00 single Win

14:50 Horatio Hornblower @ 11:00:00 E/W Placed

Plumpton

14:00 Very Live @ 10:00 E/W Win

14:35 Magestic @13:00 E/W Lost

15:00  Kilfinchen Bay @7.50 E/W Placed

16:10 King Muro @4.50 single Lost

 

SP =  +9.7

BSP=  +13.6

Early=  +14.10

BOG=  +14.8


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
16/01/2019 8:41 pm  

selections for 17/01/19

Market Rasen

13:00 Bally Home @4.5 single

14:05 Ontopoftheworld @4.0 single

Wincanton

13:55 Snapdragon Fire @4.5 single

14:25 Gunfleet @4.5 single

Newcastle

18:25 Dandy Highwayman @11.0 E/W

18:55 Landing Night @5.0 single


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William
(@positronic)
Noble Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 1297
16/01/2019 9:53 pm  

Hi Mick

Cracking return for you today, I noticed we had a few selections the same, are you a stat man or horse jockey guy, just interested  as I use vdw and stats.

Cheers

Will


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
17/01/2019 1:01 pm  

Hi Will,

 

I am a bit of everything, the ri is to cut the field then go from there and try ad get value for your money. 

I do use vdw cut the field then grl10 to see how the horse is running, which is then cross referenced with bse


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William
(@positronic)
Noble Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 1297
17/01/2019 1:40 pm  

Ok, so the VDW bit is where we are crossing over then, I then use horse / trainer stats to cross reference with.


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
17/01/2019 9:24 pm  

selections for 17/01/19

Market Rasen

13:00 Bally Home @4.5 single 2nd

14:05 Ontopoftheworld @4.0 single  PU

Wincanton

13:55 Snapdragon Fire @4.5 single 4th

14:25 Gunfleet @4.5 single PU

Newcastle

18:25 Dandy Highwayman @11.0 E/W 1st

18:55 Landing Night @5.0 single 6th

13.75 points profit today

SP Total = 19.45

BSP Total = 21.87

Early Total = 22.60

BOG Total = 24.55

 

It seems I got my excel formula slightly wrong so yesterdays totals were a little light, hence the disparity in today's totals. 

Also a single bet = 1pt and E/W bet = 2pts, just in case you were wondering


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
17/01/2019 9:27 pm  

William Hamilton said
Ok, so the VDW bit is where we are crossing over then, I then use horse / trainer stats to cross reference with.  

Hi Will, 

I will also use trainer stats along with the likely pace of the race, going.


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
17/01/2019 10:09 pm  

selection for 18/1/19

Chepstow

14:45 Steely Addition @3.25 single

Kempton

16:10 Toni's Star @5.5 single

19:15 Nylon Speed @3.25 single

Lingfield

15:05 Sandfrankskipgo @7.0 E/W


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
18/01/2019 8:21 pm  

selection for 18/1/19

Chepstow

14:45 Steely Addition @3.25 single 3rd

Kempton

16:10 Toni’s Star @5.5 single 3rd

19:15 Nylon Speed @3.25 single 4th

Lingfield

15:05 Sandfrankskipgo @7.0 E/W 1st

6 points profit for today

SP Total = 25.45

Early Total = 26.80

Bog Total = 30.55

BSP Total = 27.03


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
18/01/2019 9:25 pm  

selections for 19/01/19

Ascot

14:25 Better Getalong @9.0 E/W 6th

15:00 Mr Whittaker @7.5 E/W 4 places 4th

Haydock

12:55 Night Of Glory @5.0 single2nd

15:15 Red Infantry @11.0 E/W 5th

15:45 Admirals Secret @3.75 single N/R

16:15 Teescomponents Lad @10.0 E/W 4th

Taunton

14:15 Unison @4.0 single 1st

Wolverhampton

17:45 A Sure Welcome @5.0 single 2nd

19:45 Apex Predator @3.5 single 2nd

20:15 Captain Ryan @3.0 single 9th

loss of around 5 points

SP Total = 19.58

Early Total = 23.43

Bog Total = 24.18

BSP Total = 20.34


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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
20/01/2019 8:29 pm  

selections for 21/01/19

Sedgefield

13:15 Troo Blue @4 single 6th

Warwick

14:05 Global Dream @21 E/W 4th

Wolverhampton

18:25 Fearsome @3.5 single 1st

18:55 Ice canyon @6 and Champarisi @ 3.5 Dutch 2nd/4th

19:55 Arrowzone @ 10 E/W 1st

around 8.75 points profit today

SP Total = 27.33

Early Total = 30.18

Bog Total = 32.93

BSP Total = 28.8

 

some early figures

60.73% ROI
7.53 Average Losing Odds
7.00 Average Winning Odds
7.35 Average Odds
   
21 Losers
11 Winners
32 Runners
34.38% Strike Rate
13.61% Expected Strike Rate
4.36 Expected Winners
2.53 IV

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Mick McCormack
(@mickmccormack)
Prominent Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 846
21/01/2019 9:18 pm  

selections for 22-01-19

Leicester

16:15 Shine Baby Shine @4.5 single pu

Newcastle

17:15 Straight Right @3.5 single 2nd

18:15 Foxy Forever @4.0 single 7th

- 3 points today

SP Total = 24.33

Early Total = 27.18

Bog Total = 29.93

BSP Total = 25.8


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