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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
14/01/2020 10:38 am  
Philadelphia Park G2
R4 #6 Incite
R6 #2 Graves Island
R8 #1A Zoomer
Mahoning Valley G3
R4 #8 Diamonds Enjoy
R6 #3 Status Symbol
R8 #4 Springdetti
Louisiana Downs G1
R1 #3 Tld Easy Effort
R2 #3 Jess Ah Brother
R4 #6 Divide Her Cash
Sunland Park G2
R3 #3 Jedi Warrior
R5 #9 Revenoor Woman
R8 #1 Unfolded Magic
Turf Paradise G2
R1 #6 The Mallard Queen
R5 #3 Destinys Storm
R8 #7 Lesedi

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
14/01/2020 11:20 pm  
Philadelphia Park G2
R4 #6 Incite @ 2.75
R6 #2 Graves Island @ 2.38
R8 #1A Zoomer @ 3.5
Mahoning Valley G3
R4 #8 Diamonds Enjoy @ 3.0
R6 #3 Status Symbol @ 4.5
R8 #4 Springdetti @ 3.0
Louisiana Downs G1
R1 #3 Tld Easy Effort NR
R2 #3 Jess Ah Brother @ NR
R4 #6 Divide Her Cash @ 8.0
Sunland Park G2
R3 #3 Jedi Warrior @ 3.5
R5 #9 Revenoor Woman @ 3.5
R8 #1 Unfolded Magic @ 9.5
Turf Paradise G2
R1 #6 The Mallard Queen @ 2.62
R5 #3 Destinys Storm @ 6.5
R8 #7 Lesedi @ 3.25
 

Selections: 15 - NR: 2 - Won: 4 - Placed: 5 - Lost: 4 - Points: 11.43
Staked 235 points - Profit -0.2 Points - ROI 0% - Wins 68 - Bets 235 - SR 28.9%

G1 Races Only (Oct 2nd -->)
Staked 403 points - Profit 3.26 Points - ROI 0.8% - Wins 132 - Bets 403 - SR 32.8%


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
14/01/2020 11:43 pm  

Edit of todays results above:

Selections: 15 - NR: 2 - Won: 4 - Placed: 5 - Lost: 4 - Points: -2.25

For Wednesday

Tampa Bay Downs G2
R1 #7 Southern n Sassy
R2 #1 Empirically
R8 #5 Uncork the Bottle
Gulfstream Park G2
R2 #6 Annualized
R4 #3 Mr Impressive
R5 #9 Flaming Hot
Mahoning Valley G3
R1 #6 Ronan
R2 #6 Abraham
R4 #1 Southernperfection
Sam Houston G2
R3 #5 Agosta
R7 #6 Money Trend
R8 #6 Boss of Bourbon St
Turf Paradise G2
R1 #1 Doc Curlin
R3 #4 Bubba Bay
R4 #1 Settle Down Eileen
Delta Downs G3
R3 #1 Two With a Ten
R4 #4 Go Get That
R5 #4 Given Kisses
Penn National G1
R5 #2 Forest Park
R6 #5 Start Meee
R7 #3 Loco Lobo
Charles Town G1
R3 #4 Chinese Takeout
R5 #7 Cindy B
R7 #8 Not a Trick
This post was modified 2 weeks ago 2 times by Tony Mochrie

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
16/01/2020 8:48 am  
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R1 #7 Southern n Sassy @ 2.87
R2 #1 Empirically @ 1.8
R8 #5 Uncork the Bottle @ 1.9
Gulfstream Park G2
R2 #6 Annualized @ 3.25
R4 #3 Mr Impressive @ 11.0
R5 #9 Flaming Hot @ 3.0
Mahoning Valley G3
R1 #6 Ronan @ 1.4
R2 #6 Abraham @ 8.0
R4 #1 Southernperfection @ 3.5
Sam Houston G2
R3 #5 Agosta @ 3.5
R7 #6 Money Trend @ 3.0
R8 #6 Boss of Bourbon St @ 8.0
Turf Paradise G2
R1 #1 Doc Curlin @ 2.62
R3 #4 Bubba Bay @ 5.5
R4 #1 Settle Down Eileen @ 2.62
Delta Downs G3
R3 #1 Two With a Ten @ 1.9
R4 #4 Go Get That @ 1.8
R5 #4 Given Kisses @ 7.0
Penn National G1
R5 #2 Forest Park @ 2.75
R6 #5 Start Meee @ 2.87
R7 #3 Loco Lobo @ 4.33
Charles Town G1
R3 #4 Chinese Takeout @ 2.1
R5 #7 Cindy B @ 1.9
R7 #8 Not a Trick @ 5.0

Selections: 24 - NR: 2Won: 6 - Placed: 9Lost: 7 - Points: -5.36
Staked 257 points - Profit -5.38 Points - ROI -2.1% - Wins 74 - Bets 257 - SR 28.8%

G1 Races Only (Oct 2nd -->)
Staked 409 points - Profit -2.74 Points - ROI -0.7% - Wins 132 - Bets 409 - SR 32.3%


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
16/01/2020 1:34 pm  
Laurel Park G3
R1 #3 Margies Band
R2 #5 Robin Hood
R8 #3 Thurman Merman
Gulfstream Park G2
R1 #2 Mister Noisi
R4 #4 Causalistic
R5 #5 New Year
Golden Gate Fields G2
R5 #3 Urban Diva
R6 #9 Three Karyots
R7 #6 Happy Issue
Delta Downs G3
R1 #3 Now You Rules
R6 #2 Asdrubal
R8 #7 Charliesarchangel
Charles Town G1
R1 #2 Lil Smartiepants
R4 #9 Malibu Splash
R6 #7 Mios Long Term
 

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
17/01/2020 9:30 am  
Laurel Park G3
R1 #3 Margies Band @ 2.75
R2 #5 Robin Hood @ 3.0
R8 #3 Thurman Merman @ 3.25
Gulfstream Park G2
R1 #2 Mister Noisi @ 2.87
R4 #4 Causalistic @ 3.0
R5 #5 New Year @ 2.87
Golden Gate Fields G2
R5 #3 Urban Diva @ 3.5
R6 #9 Three Karyots @ 3.5
R7 #6 Happy Issue @ 4.33
Delta Downs G3
R3 #3 Now You Rules @ 4.33
R6 #2 Asdrubal @ 4.5
R8 #7 Charliesarchangel @ 3.25
Charles Town G1
R1 #2 Lil Smartiepants @ 2.75
R4 #9 Malibu Splash @ 2.87
R6 #7 Mios Long Term @ 3.75
 

Selections: 15 - NR: 1 - Won: 6 - Placed: 4 - Lost: 4 - Points: 4.37
Staked 271 points - Profit -1.01 Points - ROI 0.4% - Wins 80 - Bets 271 - SR 29.5%

G1 Races Only (Oct 2nd -->)
Staked 412 points - Profit -2.87 Points - ROI -0.7% - Wins 133 - Bets 412 - SR 32.3%


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
17/01/2020 2:16 pm  
Laurel Park G3
R3 #4 Johnny Cab
R6 #4 Justwaveandsmile
R8 #8 Fix Me a Sandwich
Gulfstream Park G2
R5 #8 Quality On Tap
R7 #3 Si Es Goya
R9 #2 Vinnie Van Go
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R4 #5 Rol Again Question
R5 #2 Ava Malone
R8 #5 First Off
Aqueduct G2
R2 #3 Sadie Lady
R4 #1 Chowda
R6 #4 Dr. Deveras Way
Golden Gate Fields G2
R1 #5 Rebel At Heart
R6 #3 Monceros
R8 #8 Hes a Hit
Santa Anita G3
R1 #5 Flying Blue
R3 #3 Silenced
R6 #6 Rattle
Penn National G1
R6 #2 Mile End
R7 #8 Impactful
R8 #5 Camgo
Delta Downs G3
R3 #5 Slither
R #6 Standing Man
R9 #11 Little T
Charles Town G1
R1 #1 Island Cadger
R7 #9 Ilchester Cheetah
R8 #1 Flying Phillips
 

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
18/01/2020 9:59 am  
Laurel Park G3
R3 #4 Johnny Cab @ 2.87
R6 #4 Justwaveandsmile @ 2.25
R8 #8 Fix Me a Sandwich @ 3.25
Gulfstream Park G2
R5 #8 Quality On Tap NR
R7 #3 Si Es Goya @ 3.0
R9 #2 Vinnie Van Go @ 7.5
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R4 #5 Rol Again Question @ 2.38
R5 #2 Ava Malone @ 1.67
R8 #5 First Off @ 6.0
Aqueduct G2
R2 #3 Sadie Lady @ 3.25
R4 #1 Chowda @ 4.0
R6 #4 Dr. Deveras Way @ 6.0
Golden Gate Fields G2
R1 #5 Rebel At Heart @ 3.75
R6 #3 Monceros @ 5.5
R8 #8 Hes a Hit @ 4.33
Santa Anita G3
R1 #5 Flying Blue @ 3.25
R3 #3 Silenced @ 2.75
R6 #6 Rattle @ 3.0
Penn National G1
R6 #2 Mile End @ 11.0
R7 #8 Impactful @ 15.0
R8 #5 Camgo @ 2.62
Delta Downs G3
R3 #5 Slither @ 3.25
R8 #6 Standing Man @ 3.0
R9 #11 Little T @ NFO
Charles Town G1
R6 #1 Island Cadger @ 4.0
R7 #9 Ilchester Cheetah @ 2.0
R8 #1 Flying Phillips @ 2.75
 

Selections: 27 - NR: 2 - Won: 6 - Placed: 4 - Lost: 15 - Points: -3.87
Staked 296 points - Profit -4.88 Points - ROI -1.6% - Wins 86 - Bets 296 - SR 29.1%

G1 Races Only (Oct 2nd -->)
Staked 418 points - Profit -8.87 Points - ROI -2.1% - Wins 133 - Bets 418 - SR 31.8%


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
18/01/2020 12:43 pm  

A busy day with 18 tracks running in the US on which we can get fixed odds on 10.

There are also a number of Graded Stakes Races including the California Cup and Sunshine Millions series. The Graded Stakes races at Fair Grounds  and Sunland Park are not covered by fixed odds.

Gulfstream Park G2
R5 #4 Nothins Free
R6 #4 Always Misbehaving
R7 #3 Gran Casique
Philadelphia Park G2
R4 #4 General Bellamy
R5 #9 Risques Jewel
R8 #5 Red Razzo
Laurel Park G3
R2 #4 Orbette
R5 #7 Bonus Points
R9 #1 Bucked Tooth
Aqueduct G2
R2 #4 Invest.
R5 #10 Bustin Hoffman
R9 #4 Our Troubadour
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R2 #6 Fourth Design
R6 #2 Blonde Moment
R7 #1 Tweeting
Santa Anita G3
R1 #3 Push Through
R4 #4 Nonnos Polaris
R9 #12 Principe Carlo
Golden Gate Fields G2
R4 #2 War Moccasin
R5 #4 Shifty Dancer
R8 #5 Habobanero
Penn National G1
R2 #7 Haynesfield Best
R4 #5 Coolwater
R7 #1A Shatter Me
Delta Downs G3
R2 #2 Extirpator
R5 #7 Lucky Little Lady
R8 #5 Soul Song
Charles Town G1
R1 #1 Jonathan McD
R6 #2 Moonlit Night
R7 #4 Victim of Love
GRADED STAKES Aqueduct
R7 #1 Fierce Lady
R8 #8 Mind Control
Laurel Park
R3 #3 Needs Supervision
R6 #1 Brother Chub
Tampa Bay Downs
R3 #1 Liams Lucky Charm
R9 #10 Mo City
Santa Anita (including California Cup Races*)
R5 #6 Lieutenant Dan*
R6 #1 Ward n Jerry
R7 #1 Bettor Trip Nick*
R8 #3 Bulletproof One*
Gulfstream Park (Sunshine Millions Races)
R8 #7 Starship Jubilee
R9 #6 Ladys Island
R10 #9 March to the Arch
R11 #6 Red Crescent
My list order for the Sunshine Millions Races (W/C = wild card)
Race 8
Starship Jubilee
Beautiful Lover
Una Luna
Bienville Street W/C
Race 9
Ladys Island
Extravagant Kid
He Hate Me
Royal Squeeze W/C
Race 10
March to the Arch
Muggsamatic
Curlins Honor
Souper Scat Daddy W/C
Race 11
Red Crescent
Salute With Honor
Tap the Mojo
Squeezadios W/C

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
19/01/2020 7:12 am  
Posted by: @tony-mochrie

A busy day with 18 tracks running in the US on which we can get fixed odds on 10.

There are also a number of Graded Stakes Races including the California Cup and Sunshine Millions series. The Graded Stakes races at Fair Grounds  and Sunland Park are not covered by fixed odds.

Gulfstream Park G2
R5 #4 Nothins Free @ 3.0
R6 #4 Always Misbehaving @ 4.5
R7 #3 Gran Casique @ 8.5
Philadelphia Park G2 Cancelled due to weather
R4 #4 General Bellamy 
R5 #9 Risques Jewel 
R8 #5 Red Razzo 
Laurel Park G3
R2 #4 Orbette @ 2.5
R5 #7 Bonus Points @ 8.0
R9 #1 Bucked Tooth @ 3.5
Aqueduct G2
R2 #4 Invest. @ 2.87
R5 #10 Bustin Hoffman @ 4.0
R9 #4 Our Troubadour @ 4.0
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R2 #6 Fourth Design @ 2.5
R6 #2 Blonde Moment @ 4.0
R7 #1 Tweeting @ 4.33
Santa Anita G3
R1 #3 Push Through @ 5.0
R4 #4 Nonnos Polaris 
R9 #12 Principe Carlo @ 7.0
Golden Gate Fields G2
R4 #2 War Moccasin @ 2.62
R5 #4 Shifty Dancer @ 4.33
R8 #5 Habobanero @ 3.0
Penn National G1 Cancelled due to weather
R2 #7 Haynesfield Best
R4 #5 Coolwater
R7 #1A Shatter Me
Delta Downs G3
R2 #2 Extirpator @ 9.0
R5 #7 Lucky Little Lady @ 3.0
R8 #5 Soul Song @ 2.62

Charles Town G1
R1 #1 Jonathan McD @ 2.5
R6 #2 Moonlit Night @ 3.75

R7 #4 Victim of Love

GRADED STAKES Aqueduct
R7 #1 Fierce Lady @ 2.25 4th
R8 #8 Mind Control @ 3.0 Won
Laurel Park
R3 #3 Needs Supervision @ 2.1 2nd
R6 #1 Brother Chub @ 6.5 6th
Tampa Bay Downs
R3 #1 Liams Lucky Charm @ 3.0 Won
R9 #10 Mo City @ 7.0 2nd
Santa Anita (including California Cup Races*)
R5 #6 Lieutenant Dan* @ 3.5 2nd
R6 #1 Ward n Jerry @ 4.33 2nd
R7 #1 Bettor Trip Nick* @ 3.5 3rd
R8 #3 Bulletproof One* @ 11.0 2nd
Gulfstream Park (Sunshine Millions Races)
R8 #7 Starship Jubilee @ 1.4 Won
R9 #6 Ladys Island @ 3.5 2nd
R10 #9 March to the Arch @ 4.0 Won
R11 #6 Red Crescent @ 2.8 2nd
My list order for the Sunshine Millions Races (W/C = wild card)
Race 8
Starship Jubilee 1st
Beautiful Lover 2nd
Una Luna NR
Bienville Street W/C 5th
Race 9
Ladys Island 2nd
Extravagant Kid 1st
He Hate Me 4th
Royal Squeeze W/C 5th
Race 10
March to the Arch 1st
Muggsamatic 2nd
Curlins Honor 4th
Souper Scat Daddy W/C 6th
Race 11
Red Crescent 2nd
Salute With Honor 4th
Tap the Mojo 6th
Squeezadios W/C 3rd

Selections: 30 - NR: 8 - Won: 5 - Placed: 9 - Lost: 8 - Points: 4.83
Staked 318 points - Profit -0.05 Points - ROI -0.0% - Wins 91 - Bets 318 - SR 28.6%

Graded Stakes
Staked 27 points - Profit -2.76 Points - ROI -10.2% - Wins 9 - Bets 27 - SR 33.3%

G1 Races Only (Oct 2nd -->)
Staked 420 points - Profit -10.87 Points - ROI -2.6% - Wins 133 - Bets 420 - SR 31.7%


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
19/01/2020 9:39 am  

A quieter day today, 6 tracks and a couple of Graded Stakes races.

Gulfstream Park G2
R7 #3 Til the End
R8 #2 Rayo My King
R9 #8 Kadar
Laurel Park G3
R3 #1 Flat Out Beautiful
R7 #3 Sierra Leona
R8 #4 Too Much Minutia
Aqueduct G2
R2 #8 La Negrita
R4 #3 We Are Family
R8 #2 Dawns Early Light
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R1 #6 Sammys Mineshaft
R4 #6 Spring Up
R7 #1 Chaos Kid
Santa Anita G3
R1 #4 Into Rissa
R2 #6 Salah
R4 #7 Arctic Roll
Golden Gate Fields G2
R2 #1 Papa Do Run
R5 #1 Quick and Silver
R8 #7 Ajourneytofreedom
GRADED STAKES
Santa Anita
R6 #2 Tiny Tina
GRADED STAKES
Aqueduct
R7 #7 Bellera

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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
20/01/2020 7:02 am  
Posted by: @tony-mochrie

A quieter day today, 6 tracks and a couple of Graded Stakes races.

Gulfstream Park G2
R7 #3 Til the End @ 3.5
R8 #2 Rayo My King @ 3.5
R9 #8 Kadar @ 3.0
Laurel Park G3
R3 #1 Flat Out Beautiful NR
R7 #3 Sierra Leona @  2.5
R8 #4 Too Much Minutia @  2.25
Aqueduct G2
R2 #8 La Negrita @  4.0
R4 #3 We Are Family @  5.0
R8 #2 Dawns Early Light @  2.87
Tampa Bay Downs G2
R1 #6 Sammys Mineshaft @ 3.75
R4 #6 Spring Up @ 2.75
R7 #1 Chaos Kid @ 4.1
Santa Anita G3
R1 #4 Into Rissa @ 3.0
R2 #6 Salah @ 2.2
R4 #7 Arctic Roll @ 5.5
Golden Gate Fields G2
R2 #1 Papa Do Run @ 5.0
R5 #1 Quick and Silver @ 3.25
R8 #7 Ajourneytofreedom @ 3.5
GRADED STAKES
Santa Anita
R6 #2 Tiny Tina @ 1.61 Won
GRADED STAKES
Aqueduct
R7 #7 Bellera @ 2.75 2nd

Selections: 18 - NR: 1 - Won: 6 - Placed: 3 - Lost: 8 - Points: 6.0
Staked 335 points - Profit 5.95 Points - ROI 1.8% - Wins 97 - Bets 335 - SR 29.0%

Graded Stakes
Staked 29 points - Profit -3.15 Points - ROI -10.9% - Wins 10 - Bets 29 - SR 34.5%


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Michael Wilding
(@admin)
Member Admin
Joined: 10 years ago
Posts: 1137
20/01/2020 10:44 am  

Thank you for the summary update @tony-mochrie. The 1.8% return only needs a little push. Do you get rebates on these bets?


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
20/01/2020 12:52 pm  
Posted by: @admin

Thank you for the summary update @tony-mochrie. The 1.8% return only needs a little push. Do you get rebates on these bets?

Only paper trading these at present. I do place my actual Tote bets on a Book which gives a rebate of 7%.

The returns shown are on "Fixed Odds" when I check them on Oddschecker late afternoon and late evening.  The returns to "Tote" odds are lower, I am tracking these on a separate sheet for comparision.

I mainly use exotic bets on the Tote, only using singles on races such as Sunshine Millions (above) and Pegasus Cup (next weekend).

I'm actually surprised that the overall return is where it is as, the method used is for finding Exacta/Trifecta selections rather than straight win selections. The idea of the thread is that I can use the results to fine tune it for single selections only.

I aim to post a summary at the end of the month with some initial findings.

 

 


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Tony Mochrie
(@tony-mochrie)
Estimable Member
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 178
20/01/2020 12:57 pm  
Philadelphia Park G2
R2 #2 Mimi and Charley
R7 #2Jones Taxi
R10 #5 My Danzig Partner
Laurel Park G3
R2 #4 Candygramformongo
R6 #8 Astarte Gold
R8 #3 Sacred Lady
Aqueduct G2
R1 #3 Deputy Flag
R2 #4 Our Ticket
R9 #3 Becca Takes Charge
Gulfstream Park G2
R2 #2 Happy Danza
R7 #3Looking for More
R8 #10 Somelikeithotbrown
Mahoning Valley G3
R1 #5 Really Red
R2 #6 Really Red
R5 #3 Anechoic
Santa Anita G3
R4 #4 Slewbury Park
R5 #1 Never Easy
R6 #2 Big Hoof Dynamite
Golden Gate Fields G2
R5 #5 Its Big Aine
R6 #3 Atina
R7 #1 Flynn

GRADED STAKES
Aqueduct
R8 #2 Saguaro Row

Santa Anita
R7 #6 Brill


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