For some reason as a child, the Ebor was my favourite race. Maybe it was because the great Sea Pigeon won the race in 1979. I don’t know? It’s a race I have had a bit of luck in recently too with three winners since 2011. Let’s hope that can continue in this year’s renewal.
Since 2009 there have been 150 runners in the Ebor Handicap with 8 winners and 31 placed horses. For me the race is a good one for trends fans and here are some of my key trends for helping identify this year’s winner:
Age: 4 to 7-year-old
Odds SP: 33/1 & under
Weight Compared To Top Weight: 5lb and lower of the top weighted runner
Best In Three Runs: 1st, 2nd or 3rd
All the last 8 winners of the race have shared the above criteria.
Personally, I normally concentrate on horses aged 5-year-old and older but wouldn’t dismiss the chances of a 4-year-old although surprisingly they have had only 1 winner from 59 runners 9 placed in the race since 2009.
For a 1m 6f race the draw has been significant. Since 2009 horses drawn in stalls 1 to 9 are 1 win from 62 runners 13 placed and those drawn 1 to 5 are 0 wins from 36 runners 7 placed. Meanwhile, those drawn 10+ are 7 winners from 88 runners 18 placed. I would be cautious of any horse drawn very low in this year’s renewal.
I also see the booking of claiming jockey as a positive in the race, which isn’t so surprising given the compressed nature of the weights in this ultra competitive handicap. Jockeys with a claim are 4 winners from 22 runners +59.5 and 8 placed since 2009.
Hopefully, the above trends will help you select a shortlist of contenders for this year’s renewal.