Horse Racing Micro Angle

(Last Updated On: July 28, 2017)

We have four micro angles that you can add to your betting portfolios in today’s article.

The first one focuses on trainer Andrew Balding’s runners in maiden races. Here are the criteria:

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Race Type: Maiden
Class Move: Same
Days Since Last Run: 6 to 30 days
Last Time Out Placing: 2nd

Since 2011 this angle has produced the following results:

32 winners from 50 runners 64% +39% A/E 1.54 39 placed 78%

The second trainer looked at is Michael Appleby and his knack of being able to get a horse that has switched trainers to win first time up in a handicap.

Trainer: Michael Appleby
Race Code: Turf only
Race Type: Handicap only
Runs For Trainer: 0
Odds SP: 20/1 & under

Since the start of 2012 this micro angle has produced the following set of results:

19 winners from 63 runners 30% 115.52 A/E 1.83 28 placed 44% – (Profit to Betfair SP is 161.75)


Mark Johnston’s Newmarket July Festival Angle

Trainer Mark Johnston likes to have a winner or two at the meeting and since 2007 he the top trainer in terms of winners – 14 winners from 98 runners 15% +18.33 A/E 1.25 30 placed 31%. That win strike rate and profit can be improved upon if you focus on his three and four-year old runners that have had plenty of racing in the previous 90 days:

Trainer: Mark Johnston
Horses Age: 3 & 4-year-olds
Runs In 90 Days: 3 to 5

10 winners from 34 runners 29% +58.63 A/E 2.62 17 placed 50%

All but four of his winners in the past 10 years have come from horses with above qualifying criteria. I will be sharing more trainer micro angles with Eyecatcher Pro subscribers over the three days.

James Fanshawe’s Kempton Angle

This week’s micro angle focuses on trainer James Fanshawe’s record in handicaps at Kempton. Since the start of 2012 the trainer has had 44 winners from 192 runners 23% +51.34 A/E 1.19 91 placed 47% but if we look at the horses previous run we can see a big difference in strike rate and profit between those who ran on the all weather and those who ran on turf.:

All Weather LTO – 16 winners from 99 runners 16% -17.57 A/E 0.84 38 placed 38%
Turf LTO – 28 winners from 93 runners 30% +68.91 A/E 1.56 53 placed 57% +86.41

Two weeks ago I gave you an Ed Vaughan micro angle to add to your betting portfolios. Since then the system has provided two selections, with one of then Staintondale Lass winning last week at odds of 8/1.

John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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