At one and a half miles this race is longer than the last and we want to focus more on those runners who can go the distance. Irish trained runners statistically don’t do well in this race, although as we know this is no guarantee they won’t this year. The majority of previous winners had won one of their last two races and had also won a race as a 2 year old.
These trends allow us to remove 6 runners from contention giving us just 5 to consider further.
Alexander Pope seems to be declining in performance over similar distances recently and so can also be removed from contention.
Of the rest special note should be given to Dordogne, trained by M Johnston who has a 20% strike rate over the exact conditions as todays race and who certainly has the potential to win. Glens Diamond has shown significant improvement over todays distance and if he continues this trend he could be out of reach. Glencadam Gold is also showing good improvement, while not as good as Glens Diamond it is still worth taking note of.
My preference would be for Glencadam Gold and Glens Diamond with an each-way bet on both.