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Micro-Angles

Hi all,

The horse racing cranks up further this week with the first big meeting of the winter jumps meeting, the three day November Meeting at Cheltenham, which begins on Friday.

This week’s article looks at some interesting trainer stats from the Cheltenham November meeting (published on Friday) and a couple of profitable trainer micro angles. As ever I also have a couple of trainers whose horses are usually in prime form at this time of year, a profile horse who is handicapped to win on the all-weather, when he gets his optimum conditions and an ante post selection for Saturday’s big handicap the BetVictor Gold Cup (published, tomorrow).

Trainers to Note in the Next 7 Days

Here are a couple of trainers whose runners are worth noting in the coming week or so one for the jumps and one for the all-weather.

1. Pam Sly has a good win strike rate with her National Hunt runners in all races in the two week period (14 days) either side of today’s date. Since 2014 she has had –

7 winners from 22 runners

Strike Rate 32%

SP Profit +40.23

A/E 2.78 (profit to BSP +49.99)

11 placed

Place Strike Rate 50%

2. Ralph Beckett is a trainer whose 2-year-olds do well in the two week period (14 days) either side of today’s date. Since 2014 he has –

12 winners from 50 runners

Strike Rate 24%

SP Profit +51.62

A/E 1.32 (profit to BSP +99.44)

22 placed

Place Strike Rate 44%.

That win strike rate can be improved further by just focusing in on his juveniles running at Kempton –

9 winners from 26 runners

Strike Rate 35%

SP Profit +53.33

A/E 1.89 (profit to BSP +95.01)

15 placed

Place Strike Rate 58%

N.B. Ralph Beckett juvenile runners at Kempton

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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