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Micro-Angles – Weekend Trainer Track Stats

Hi all,

After the Ladbrokes Newbury Winter Carnival, the horse racing action continues apace this weekend with the Tingle Creek Day at Sandown and not one, but two races over Aintree’s National fences on Saturday with the Becher Chase and Grand Sefton Chase the highlight of that card.

Plenty to get through this week and there is plenty for you stats fans to digest, so let’s crack on. This week, I am going to focus in some of the key trainer & jockey stats for the weekend’s National Hunt action and look at some of the key trends for the two big Aintree handicaps over the National fences.

Friday

Sedgefield

Malcolm Jefferson is a trainer that punters need to keep on side at this track. Since 2014 he has had –

23 winners from 62 runners

Strike Rate 37%

SP Profit +41.63

A/E 1.53

Chi 5.53

Exp/Wins 15.06 (profit to BSP +50.45)

35 placed

Place Strike Rate 56%

Jockey Brian Hughes has been the jockey he goes to and the pair have teamed up for –

21 winners from 50 runners

Strike Rate 42%

SP Profit +45.63

A/E 1.67

Chi 7.49

Exp/Wins 12.6 (profit to BSP +54.13)

31 placed

Place Strike Rate 62%

Those trainer track stats are worth following blindly, but they can be improved if you just focused on his runners in Chases and NHF races which have produced the following set of results:

14 winners from 27 runners

Strike Rate 52%

SP Profit +35.88

A/E 2.11

Chi 10.9

Exp/Wins 6.62 (profit to BSP +39.83)

18 placed

Place Strike Rate 67%

For those of you like backing in handicaps the trainer has had –

14 winners from 38 runners

Strike Rate 37%

SP Profit +28.13

A/E 1.77

Chi 5.95

Exp/Wins 7.9 (profit to BSP +33.08)

21 placed

Place Strike Rate 55%

and he’s had –

13 winners from 30 runners

Strike Rate 43%

+33.13

A/E 1.99

Chi 8.23

Exp/Wins 6.52 (profit to BSP +38.58)

20 placed

Place Strike Rate 67%

when teaming up with Brian Hughes

Sandown

Fergal O’Brien’s – All Runners

8 winners from 17 runners

Strike Rate 47%

SP Profit +33.96

A/E 2.45

Chi 8.53

Exp/Wins 3.26 (profit to BSP +41.75)

9 placed

Place Strike Rate 53%

Exeter

Evan Williams – Handicap Hurdles – 

4 winners from 11 runners

Strike Rate 36%

SP Profit +18.63

A/E 2.67 (profit to BSP +28.48)

5 placed

Place Strike Rate 45%

Sue Gardner – Handicap Chases – 

5 winners from 15 runners

Strike Rate 33%

SP Profit+13.38

A/E 2.54 (profit to BSP +20.38)

6 placed

Place Strike Rate 40%

Saturday

Wetherby

Nicky Richards – Handicaps – 

7 winners from 15 runners

Strike Rate 47%

SP Profit +28.25

A/E 2.77 (profit to BSP +31.73)

9 placed

Place Strike Rate 60%

Dan Skelton – Handicaps – 

7 winners from 19 runners

Strike Rate 37%

SP Profit+11.75

A/E 1.67 (profit to BSP +14.13)

11 placed

Place Strike Rate 58%

Those going off 5/1 & under –

7 winners from 14 runners

Strike Rate 50%

SP Profit +16.75

A/E 1.9 (profit to BSP +19.13)

10 placed

Place Strike Rate 71%

Chepstow

Philip Hobbs – Handicaps – Class 3 only – 

7 winners from 16 runners

Strike Rate 44%

SP Profit +17.95

A/E 2.07 (profit to BSP +20.69)

10 placed

Place Strike Rate 63%

Venetia Williams – Handicaps – 2m 3f to 2m 3/2 f –

7 winners from 12 runners

Strike Rate 58%

SP Profit +26.15

A/E 2.44 (profit to BSP +29.24)

8 placed

Place Strike Rate 67%

Sunday

Kelso

Nicky Richards – Handicap Hurdles – Class 3, 4 & 5 –

6 winners from 15 runners

Strike Rate 40%

SP Profit +26.25

A/E 2.62 (profit to BSP +30.34)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 47%

Huntingdon

Kim Bailey – Handicap Hurdles –

6 winners from 12 runners

Strike Rate 50%

SP Profit +45.1

A/E 3.17 (profit to BSP +53.63)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 58%

Jonjo O’Neill – Handicap Chases – Class 4 & 5 –

7 winners from 15 runners

Strike Rate 47%

SP Profit +19.75

A/E 2.41 (profit to BSP +2.41)

12 placed

Place Strike Rate 80%

Punchestown

Jessica Harrington & Robbie Power – Handicaps 2m 5f + –

5 winners from 11 runners

Strike Rate 45%

SP Profit +13.63

A/E 2.51 (profit to BSP + 14.56)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 64%

Until next week, be lucky.

John

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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