I like to think this weekly preview is the one-stop shop for all your weekend horse racing stats and trends needs.
This week I want to examine the form of the Venetia Williams stable.
I am sure, like me, plenty of you have some systems based on Venetia Williams chasers in November & December or her runners on soft & heavy ground. If you have you will have thrown away plenty of losing betting slips since the 1st October!
This is her record with chasers since 2012 in the months of October to December starting with this season:
2017 – 2 winners from 24 runners
Strike Rate 8%
SP Loss -15.5
Place Strike Rate 29%
2016 – 5 winners from 25 runners
SP Profit +6.2
Place Strike Rate 36%
2015 – 19 winners from 72 runners
Strike Rate 26%
SP Profit +53.25
Place Strike Rate 39%
2014 – 15 winners from 70 runners
Strike Rate 21%
SP Profit +17.83
Place Strike Rate 34%
2013 – 9 winners from 44 runners
Strike Rate 20%
SP Loss -6.62
Place Strike Rate 41%
2012 – 12 winners from 68 runners
Strike Rate 18%
SP Profit +1.11
Place Strike Rate 51%
Granted Venetia still has a few days of the month left to turn things around but even if she does the halcyon days of 2015 & 2014 look to be over. Maybe she had had a ‘low level’ bug in her yard this autumn or she has some poorly handicapped horses or maybe she just isn’t getting the quality of horses that she used too?
There is a host of possible reasons for the mediocre form of her chasers this autumn but given she has had as many handicap hurdle winners during the period as she has had over fences maybe the first of the excuses may not best explain things.
Next time I will be taking a look at the recent form of another underperforming stable that of Philip Hobbs.