Something new, as I look at two horses worth noting in the autumn: Blue Kascade & Thomas Brown.
1. Blue Kascade’s career record is –
5 wins from 29 runs
Strike Rate 17%
SP Loss -5.75
Place Strike Rate 28%
But his career record in October & November is –
4 wins from 7 runs
Strike Rate 57%
SP Profit +10.25
and just for good measure, he is 4 wins from 4 runs when racing 2m 4 ½ f +. The Sandy Thomson trained 10-year-old’s last win came at Musselburgh last November and he starts the new campaign off a 3lb lower mark.
2. Thomas Brown trained by Harry Fry has a very good career win record –
7 winners from 19 runs
Strike Rate 37%
SP Profit +3.18
Place Strike Rate 42%.
Six of those wins have come on good to soft whilst he is 1 win from 8 runs 2 places on soft or heavy, He looks a horse that needs a decent break between his races as he is 0 wins from 7 runs 1 place when racing within 30 days of his last start. However, he does go very well after a long layoff 3 wins from 3 runs when racing after 180+ days since his last start. The 8-year-old is 4 wins from 6 runs 67% +5.33 4 places in October & November with form figures 411211. His starts the new season of a mark 138 which is just 1lb higher than for his last win at Aintree last November.