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Micro-Angles – Autumn National Hunt Trainers

The ‘proper’ winter jumps season starts next month so with this in mind this weeks micro angles feature looks at two trainer’s who normally have their runners ready to strike after a summer break in the autumn and as a bit of a bonus two horses whose profile’s suggest they are worth looking out for when they run in October & November. Starting with the trainers:

Tom George

This trainer is one of my favourite’s and he is clearly capable of getting his horses to run well after a summer layoff. Looking at his record in October & November with horses racing after a 120 + day break he had had –

22 winners from 106 runners

Strike Rate 21%

SP Profit +39.18

A/E 1.24

42 placed

Place Strike Rate 40%.

Looking at his runners in chases & bumper races he has had –

17 winners from 69 runners

Strike Rate 25%

SP Profit +55.68

A/E 1.53

29 placed

Place Strike Rate 42%

(5 wins from 37 runners 14% -16.5 A/E 0.76 13 placed 35% with hurdlers).

Digging a bit deeper and focusing in on his runners Class 3 races & lower he has had –

14 winners from 43 runners

Strike Rate 33%

+57.35

A/E 1.69

(Profit to Betfair SP +68.64) 21 placed 49%

(3 winners from 26 runners 12% -1.67 A/E 1.05 8 placed 31% in Class 1 & 2 races) since 2014.

Trainer: Tom George
Days Since Last Run: 120 +
Race Type: Chase & NHF
Race Class: Class 3 to Class 6

Venetia Williams 

You will read and hear a lot about Venetia Williams and her good record with chasers returning from a summer break in the autumn months. Since 2014 the trainer has had –

22 winners from 87 runners

Strike Rate 25%

SP Profit +82.25

A/E 1.65

30 placed

Place Strike Rate 34%

With runners returning from a 120+ day absence. Her record with chasers on good or good to soft going –

5 winners from 35 runners

Strike Rate 14%

SP Profit +9

A/E 1.17

9 placed

Place Strike Rate 26%

But if we look at her chasers on soft or heavy she has had –

17 winners from 52 runners

Strike Rate 33%

SP Profit +75.25

A/E 1.88

(Profit to Betfair SP +87.81)

21 placed 40% since 2014.

Trainer: Venetia Williams
Days Since Last Run: 120+
Race Type: Chases
Going: Soft or Heavy

I have added her in the hope that the wet weather continues as the profits pile up with a wet autumn.

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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