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Micro Angles

Eyecatcher Micro Angles:

The Jane Chapple-Hyam micro system that I gave you last week had its first runner on Saturday with Stamford Raffles winning at Haydock, at odds of 11/4 and the Tom Dascombe/Richard Kingscote Haydock angle had its first two qualifiers on Saturday with Mac O’Polo finishing 3rd at 8/1.

John Gosden Handicap Runners Returning From A 60+ Day Break

The first Micro angle looks at trainer John Gosden’s runners in handicaps that are returning from a 60 day+ absence from the track. Some trainers are good at getting their horses ready to win off a lay off some are not. John Gosden is certainly in the former group and between July & October is the time to follow his runners. What I like about this system is its simplicity and as they say, the best micro systems are those with the least filters.

Trainer John Gosden
Race Type: Handicaps Only
Month: July to October
Days Since Last Run: 60+

Since 2014 the results which such runners are – 14 winners from 36 runners 39% +54.51 A/E 1.93 21 placed 58% (Profit to Betfair SP +67.78). He has had three runners in 2017 – 0 wins 3 runners 3 placed. Hopefully, next month will see the profits roll in again.

Compare that with his runners returning from less than a 60-day break – 33 winners from 187 runners 18% -17.08 A/E 0.87 74 places 40%. We can clearly see from the two A/E figures where the value is with his handicap runners.

 

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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