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Saturday Preview – Weekend Trainer Stats: Wetherby & Ascot

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Last weekend the National Hunt season really cranked into gear with Cheltenham’s two-day Showcase Meeting and Old Roan Chase Day at Aintree on Sunday. This week we have Charlie Hall Day at Wetherby, which will hopefully see a clash between Coneygree and Cue Card in the feature race and there is also a very decent Ascot card as that track hosts its first fixture over jumps this season.

Here are few trainer stats to look out for from both meetings starting with Wetherby.

Wetherby – Charlie Hall Meeting

Looking at the stats at the meeting from 2012 to 2016 the top trainer in terms of the number of winners is Paul Nicholls whose record is –

8 winners from 20 runners

Strike Rate 40%

SP Profit +7.51

A/E 1.47

12 placed

Place Strike Rate 60%

and he has had 5 winners more than his nearest rivals.

His runners that finished 1st or 2nd on their last start are really worth noting as his record is

7 winners from 10 runners

Strike Rate 70%

SP Profit +16.01

A/E 2.26 with such runners.

Other trainers whose runners are worth a second look at the Charlie Hall Meeting are:

Harry Fry –

3 winners from 5 runners

Strike Rate 60%

SP Profit +4.25

5 placed

Place Strike Rate 100%

Sandy Thomson –

2 winners from 2 runners

Strike Rate 100%

SP Profit +8.75

 

Nigel Twiston-Davies –

3 winners from 6 runners

Strike Rate 50%

SP Profit +6.83 (Hurdle races only)

 

Ascot – October/November Meeting

The figures for this meeting from 2012 to 2016 consist of 35 winners from 385 runners and there are two trainers who stand out.

Two trainers stand out and they have had 34% of the winners at this meeting from just over 10% of the runners. The two trainers are Nicky Henderson & Venetia Williams.

Nicky Henderson –

7 winners from 23 runners

Strike Rate 30%

SP Profit +0.79

A/E 1.23

15 placed

Place Strike Rate 65%

It has paid to look out for his 5-year-olds at the meeting –

5 winners from 7 runners

Strike Rate 71%

SP Profit +4.88

A/E 1.72

6 placed

Place Strike Rate 86%

 

Venetia Williams –

5 winners from 17 runners

Strike Rate 29%

SP Profit +41.75

A/E 3.38 (profit to BSP +50.42)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 41%

As a trainer, Venetia Williams clearly aims horses at this meeting and the way to go with her runners looks to be those horses that are racing 90+days since their last start and are racing in class 3 races or better. Those runners have produced the following results–

5 winners from 14 runners

Strike Rate 36%

SP Profit +44.75

A/E 3.94 (profit to BSP +53.42)

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 50%.

It’s a brave punter who ignores any of her runners but she is 0 wins from 3 runners 0 placed in Class 4 races at the meeting.

Hopefully, there will be a few winners among the above. Until next time, be lucky.

John

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John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.

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