RA Pro Tools

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections

Using The Daily Stat Pack Effectively

(Last Updated On: August 13, 2020)

Are you the type of person that likes to look at a horse’s connections to decide if you want to choose it as a horse racing selection?

By connections I mean trainers and jockeys.

If you are, then you’re not alone. There are millions of people who also use connections every day to determine whether a horse has a good chance of winning the race.

After all, the trainer is responsible for making sure the horse is fit, ready, and entered into a race it can compete in.

The jockey is responsible for navigating the horse during the race, and making sure the race is run in a way that will best suit the horse.

Both these people play key roles in determining a horse’s success, both in a single race and over its entire career.

But when you start considering trainers and jockeys you’ve just tripled the amount of information that you need to consider.

As well as considering if the horse likes the race conditions, you’re now also considering…

  • If the trainer is the right trainer for this horse
  • Whether they’re targeting this race to win or for exercise
  • What horses the trainer works best with
  • If the trainer specialises in certain courses, race types or conditions
  • Whether the jockey is the right jockey for the horse
  • If the jockey has experience riding the horse
  • If the jockey likes the race conditions and is best suited to them
  • Whether the course is one the jockey is experienced at and is good at racing at

And many, many more!

How do you get through all of this information quickly and easily?

With the Race Advisor Pro’s Daily Stat Pack.


WHAT IS THE DAILY STAT PACK?

The Daily Stat Pack contains a shortlist of all the strongest horses racing each day, based only on the connections of that horse.

It looks like this.

Horse Racing Daily Stat Pack

On the day I wrote this blog, there were four runners in the Daily Stat Pack.

Some days there’s more, and some days there’s none.

You can consider these horses as the shortlist of the runners with the best connections each day.

Of course, you need to check that the horse’s like the race conditions, and can compete in the class of race, before deciding whether to bet on them. But all of the connections investigation work has been done.

There’s no need to ask the hundreds of questions about whether the connections are any good!


HOW DO WE FIND THE DAILY STAT PACK HORSES?

Good question! It’s hard to use something if you don’t know how it was discoverd.

So here’s how we do it…

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections 2

You’ll notice a View All button at the top of the Stat Pack. If you click on it you’ll be brought to the following page…

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections 3

Here you can see every horse who is trained by a trainer with more than a 17% strike rate, and every jockey who has won 17% or more of their races.

If you scroll down you get this for every single meeting that is taking place each day.

This is useful if you want to see at a glance all the horses that have either a strong trainer or jockey that day.

At the bottom we get this:

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections 4

It’s our shortlist for the day, but with more detail.

We take the horses whose trainer and jockey both have a strike rate of 17% or higher at the course they’re racing at.

In order to make the shortlist, they also need to have over a 17% strike rate on at least one of the following:

  • Going
  • Distance
  • Course

We can use this to reduce this shortlist down further, in the above example only Sirobbie in the 14:10 Uttoxeter has a good strike rate at the distance and course.

These shortlisted runners are also sent out via email every morning in the Daily Digest.


That’s Great… But What The Heck Do I Do With It?

Now we have a shortlist of the strongest runners based on their connections we can make decisions on who to bet in a number of ways.

You could:

  1. Use the Daily Stat Pack strategy here (you’ll need to be logged in to see it)
  2. Strengthen your existing selections knowing they have strong connections
  3. Look into them further to confirm whether the horse is suited to the race conditions.
  4. Make a race card to get more connection details

If I take number four as an example, I’ve made a quick custom race card that looks like this for the 14:10 Uttoexter.

TRAINER STATS

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections 5

JOCKEY STATS

Shortlisting Horse Racing Selections With Strong Connections 6

On this race card I’ve added both trainer and jockey, win strike rate, place strike rate and profit for the course.

We could have added this for race type or distance instead or as well. Or any combination of those three conditions!

Here we can see that Sirobbie’s trainer has made a profit at this course of +16, and has a 20% strike rate here. There is a threat from Minella Warrior’s trainer with a 50% strike rate at this course, although the profit being much lower indicates either lower odds and the market has taken account of it, or less runners at the course for the trainer.

The jockey has a similar strike rate, for both win and place, as the trainer, and has also made a flat bet profit on the course.

Currently the selection is last out of the four runners, meaning it has comparatively good odds.

In such a small field, it may be wisest to move on when there is a clear very strong trainer. However, Betfair are offering a two place market where you can get 3.10 on Sirobbie.

If a quick check of the other stats indicate the horse can perform in this race, the place market could be an interesting market to go for.


IN SUMMARY

The Daily Stat Pack is a way of shortlisting runners based on connection performance, and is designed to save time.

With a shortlist you can hugely speed up the process of finding potential selections.

Some days you may decide that all the shortlist are worth a bet, and some days none of them may be quite right.

Either way, using a process such as this to be able to shortlist the runners that are worth you investigating further from a day of horse racing can have a big impact.

Never limit yourself to just a single process of shortlisting. You can use multiple methods, systems and techniques to shortlist each day.

Do you already use a shortlisting process at the moment to find the horses you want to look at in more detail?

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.

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