Advice

The Superior Ratings System

(Last Updated On: July 13, 2015)

Today I would like to write the rules to the Superior Ratings System which was kindly donated by Stephen. This system is for Flat Handicap races only and finds only one selection per day.

Initially we start by dividing all race courses into 4 different groups. These groupings are:

GROUP 1

Ascot,  Epsom,  Goodwood,  Newmarket,  York

GROUP 2

Ayr,  Chester,  Doncaster,  Haydock,  Kempton (A/W),  Newbury,  Salisbury,  Sandown

GROUP 3

Beverley,  Carlisle,  Chepstow,  Ffos Las,  Great Leighs,  Hamilton,  Musselburgh, Newcastle,  Pontefract,  Redcar,  Ripon,  Thirsk,  Warwick,  Windsor

GROUP 4

Bath,  Brighton,  Catterick,  Folkestone,  Leicester,  Lingfield (A/W), Lingfield (Turf), Nottingham,  Southwell (A/W), Southwell (Turf),  Wolverhampton (A/W),  Yarmouth

To begin you want to find the Flat Handicap race with the largest prize on offer. You the take the 6 top weighted horses in the race. We shall be looking at the form of these 6 runners last three races by allocating points based on certain criteria.

  • We start by awarding points according to finish position and the course grouping that the horse was racing in as follows:

GROUP 1 COURSE:

WINNER – AWARD 15 POINTS

SECOND – AWARD 12 POINTS

THIRD –     AWARD  9 POINTS

FOURTH – AWARD  7 POINTS

 

GROUP 2 COURSE:

WINNER – AWARD  12 POINTS

SECOND – AWARD  9 POINTS

THIRD –     AWARD  7 POINTS

FOURTH – AWARD  5 POINTS

 

GROUP 3 COURSE:

WINNER – AWARD  9 POINTS

SECOND – AWARD  7 POINTS

THIRD –     AWARD  6 POINTS

FOURTH – AWARD  3 POINTS

 

GROUP 4 COURSE:

WINNER – AWARD  7 POINTS

SECOND – AWARD  5 POINTS

THIRD –     AWARD  4 POINTS

FOURTH – AWARD  2 POINTS

  • We then award 3 points if the horse has been trained by one of the leading trainers at the course. There is no definition of what a leading trainer is and so I would suggest defining it as a trainer who has a strike rate of at least 20% at the course.
  • We follow this up by awarding points if the horse is running again within 7 days based on their finish position last time out.

WINNER RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS – AWARD 5 POINTS

SECOND RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS – AWARD 3 POINTS

THIRD RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS –     AWARD 2 POINTS

FOURTH RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS – AWARD 1 POINT

  • If the runner is carrying less weight than its last race then award it 3 points, if it is carrying the same then award it 1 point.
  • If the runner is a distance winner then award it 3 points, if it is a course winner award it 2 points.
  • The final points awarded are based on the forecast price. Use the below to award the appropriate points.

ODDS-ON to EVENS        AWARD 15 POINTS

BETWEEN 11/10 – 6/4      AWARD 8 POINTS

BETWEEN 13/8 – 5/2        AWARD 5 POINTS

BETWEEN 11/4 – 9/2        AWARD 3 POINTS

BETWEEN 5/1 – 9/1          AWARD 1 POINT

10/1 AND OVER                AWARD 0 POINTS

Once you have added all the points together you bet the top-rated runner. The suggested staking plan is betting the points in sequence after each losing bet, 112233445566, which you continue along until you win and then start again. As you know I never condone any form of loss recovery betting and I would suggest flat betting.

I know that all sounds a little bit complicated so to make it easy I have put together a spreadsheet which will significantly speed up the process. You can download it here.

 

The Race Advisor understands that they have permission to print this information, if this is incorrect then please contact us.

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.

2 Comments

  1. Hi All

    This seems remarkably similar to Paul Majors method in his book Horse Sense Major methods of finding winners (the uk adaptation of Laurence Voegle’s book).

    Kind Regards

    Paul

  2. Hi ALL
    I like this idea and most of the points awarded
    but i have resavation on two sets of awarded points dont get me wrong
    i know the reasons for them but i might award slightly lower points to winners
    and favourites one reason is if fc/favs win 30 to 35% of races what happens to the other
    70/75% of all other runners and with the two i just mentioned having such high values
    even if falling behind the others thoes rating will bring them into contention and beyond
    i`m talking about the 15points given to odds-on to evens and 12pts to winners as stated i understand why this is but it may leave you with lots of last time out winners & evens favs so i would make those points slightly smaller to keep in some better priced runners for these reasons not meny horses win consective races and no all favourites win
    regards
    glen

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